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Rivian And Volkswagen Increase Joint Venture Investment
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Rivian climbs after-hours as it beats on top and bottom lines

Rivian posted its third-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.

Max Knoblauch

Rivian posted its third-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday, and its final quarter with the $7,500 EV tax credit saw better-than-expected results.

The electric vehicle maker, which delivered 10% more vehicles in its third quarter than Wall Street expected, closed down more than 5% on the day. In after-hours trading, shares rose more than 3%.

The company posted an adjusted net loss per share of $0.65, better than the $0.72 loss per share expected by analysts polled by FactSet. In the same quarter last year, Rivian lost $0.99 per share.

Rivian also:

  • Booked $1.56 billion in revenue, up 78% from last year and better than the $1.51 billion Wall Street expected.

  • Reported a gross profit of $24 million, compared to a $392 million loss in the same quarter last year. Analysts had expected a $39 million loss.

Looking ahead, Rivian maintained its recently narrowed full-year delivery outlook of between 41,500 and 43,500 vehicles. The automaker also reaffirmed its full-year negative earnings before interest and taxes guidance of between $2 billion and $2.25 billion.

Rivian has been cutting costs in recent weeks, performing two rounds of layoffs in two months as it prepares for its 2026 launch of a midsize SUV — the R2 — for around $45,000. Its shares are down about 6% this year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500.

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US gas prices surge, with prediction markets implying >$4 per gallon by the end of March

Pain at the pump is intensifying as the ongoing war in the Middle East pressures supplies.

US average national gas prices rose to $3.45 per gallon on Sunday, according to data from the American Automobile Association, and are up more than 15% since the kinetic conflict started.

“Given Sunday evening’s data and the continued surge in oil prices, I believe there is roughly an 80% chance the national average price of gasoline reaches $4 per gallon within the next month- or sooner,” wrote Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, in a post on Substack on Sunday evening. “In the immediate term, the national average of $3.45 per gallon could climb to roughly $3.75–$3.95 this week alone.”

Prediction markets currently expect prices to end the month around $4.30 to $4.50. On Friday, the prediction market-implied likely range for prices was between $3.60 and $3.70.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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