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Report: Investors got a peek at xAI’s books and it’s losing money, burning cash

Bloomberg is reporting that prospective investors for a debt offering got a little peek into how Elon Musk’s xAI business is doing.

It appears to be following the AI startup playbook: lose money and burn cash. According to the limited, unaudited numbers that Morgan Stanley shared as part of a $5 billion debt offering, xAI pulled in $52 million in gross revenue and lost $341 million before EBITDA.

Compared to its AI peers, those numbers aren’t great. OpenAI is reported to be expecting $12.7 billion in revenue for 2025, while Anthropic is estimated to be pulling in $2 billion for the year. Bloomberg reported that xAI is anticipating $1 billion in gross revenue by the end of this year.

Another page from the AI startup playbook says shoot for the stars, and xAI is predicting it will have $13 billion in annual revenue by 2029. The numbers also revealed that the startup is planning on spending $18 billion for future data centers.

Compared to its AI peers, those numbers aren’t great. OpenAI is reported to be expecting $12.7 billion in revenue for 2025, while Anthropic is estimated to be pulling in $2 billion for the year. Bloomberg reported that xAI is anticipating $1 billion in gross revenue by the end of this year.

Another page from the AI startup playbook says shoot for the stars, and xAI is predicting it will have $13 billion in annual revenue by 2029. The numbers also revealed that the startup is planning on spending $18 billion for future data centers.

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Oil settles Friday at highest level since start of war

US oil prices moved higher in afternoon trading Friday, sapping strength from the stock market as they posted their highest close since the start of the Iran war.

After another day where the Strait of Hormuz was essentially closed to global tanker traffic, US futures for West Texas Intermediate settled up 3.1% at $98.71 a barrel for an 8.6% weekly gain, per Dow Jones data.

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

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Memory stocks rebound off last weeks losses

Memory stocks Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings rose again Friday, putting these crucial providers of chips for AI inference work on track for big weekly gains after last week’s steep losses following the outbreak of war with Iran.

There’s no obvious trigger for the move higher for these shares this week, other than a bit of a recovery in the AI trade more broadly — AI beneficiaries like IT cable and connections maker Amphenol and custom chip and networking company Marvell Technology clawed back some gains this week — perhaps due Oracle’s earnings earlier, and some mean reversion to boot.

Micron is due to report earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, with the company catching a couple price target hikes this week, including one from Wedbush on Friday.

Sandisk is something of a different story, as its enormous gains over the last 12 months — roughly 1,200% — have made it a momentum play beloved by the retail crowd.

It was up about 20% this week at around 11 a.m. ET. And its nearly 170% gain this year keeps the stock on top of the S&P 500, in terms of price performance.

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