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Quantum stocks soar after report that the Trump administration is in talks to invest directly in the sector

After speculation has swirled for weeks that the US government might consider investing in the quantum sector, discussions are now underway, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the Trump administration is negotiating with several quantum computing companies about giving the US Commerce Department equity stakes in exchange for federal funding.

Companies in talks include IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, with each seeking a minimum of $10 million in funding, per the report, while others like Quantum Computing and privately held Atom Computing consider similar arrangements. The deals “haven’t been completed and might change.”

These stocks soared double digits on the initial news, and IonQ and Rigetti were the second- and third-most-traded stocks in the premarket, trailing only Tesla.

Separate sources also appeared to contradict the report. Per Reuters, a US Commerce Department official said over email that it is “not currently negotiating with any of the companies.” Quantum computing stocks all pared some of their advances after Yahoo Finance reported that taking equity stakes is “not necessarily something the Trump administration is considering,” citing a person familiar, adding that these companies (and many others) have pitched the government on buying a position.

Per JPMorgan’s Arun Jain, retail traders “are actively participating in the sharp rebound of quantum stocks,” with net purchases of about $136 million in these four stocks through 11 a.m. ET.

D-Wave Quantum is leading the rally in the cohort, and that makes some fundamental sense: this news would constitute a bigger shift in how the government feels about this particular company relative to its peers.

D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz had previously expressed feeling left out in the cold by the US government because its most prominent quantum computing technology utilizes annealing models, while its peers use gate-base models. Back in May, he told us he “couldn’t even get a foot in the door” with the US government, calling its focus on gate-based models “profoundly disappointing.” Now, if these reports are realized, the government won’t just have its foot in the door; it’ll have a seat at D-Wave’s table.

Benchmark Co. analyst David Williams said this “represents just one of several potential funding mechanisms likely to emerge as the US accelerates efforts to establish leadership in next-generation computing amid intensifying global competition, particularly from China,” citing figures from the Quantum Economic Development Consortium that show China’s public funding for the industry is roughly double that of the US.

“We believe these types of programs will further strengthen conviction in the quantum investment thesis, with growing public–private collaboration and policy support helping accelerate private-sector adoption, expand end-market applications, and drive the pace of innovation over the next several years,” he wrote.

The move builds on the governments recent investments in important sectors: in July, the Defense Department took a 15% stake in rare earth miner MP Materials to become its largest shareholder, followed by the federal government acquiring a 10% stake in chipmaker Intel in August.

Indeed, the rally in quantum computing stocks in September was spurred in part by rumors that the US government was looking to step up its support for the industry. This measure under discussion would certainly be more aggressive than what followed by the end of the month, when the Trump administration highlighted quantum computing as a top R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

The funding, if finalized, would mark Washingtons first direct bet on the fast-growing quantum computing field, which promises to perform complex calculations far faster than todays supercomputers, potentially accelerating breakthroughs in pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, AI, and more.

The companies reportedly discussing the deals remain deeply unprofitable, with all four companies (D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ, and Quantum Computing) posting net losses in their latest quarter — a fact that hasn’t stopped most of them from surging this year.

Companies in talks include IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, with each seeking a minimum of $10 million in funding, per the report, while others like Quantum Computing and privately held Atom Computing consider similar arrangements. The deals “haven’t been completed and might change.”

These stocks soared double digits on the initial news, and IonQ and Rigetti were the second- and third-most-traded stocks in the premarket, trailing only Tesla.

Separate sources also appeared to contradict the report. Per Reuters, a US Commerce Department official said over email that it is “not currently negotiating with any of the companies.” Quantum computing stocks all pared some of their advances after Yahoo Finance reported that taking equity stakes is “not necessarily something the Trump administration is considering,” citing a person familiar, adding that these companies (and many others) have pitched the government on buying a position.

Per JPMorgan’s Arun Jain, retail traders “are actively participating in the sharp rebound of quantum stocks,” with net purchases of about $136 million in these four stocks through 11 a.m. ET.

D-Wave Quantum is leading the rally in the cohort, and that makes some fundamental sense: this news would constitute a bigger shift in how the government feels about this particular company relative to its peers.

D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz had previously expressed feeling left out in the cold by the US government because its most prominent quantum computing technology utilizes annealing models, while its peers use gate-base models. Back in May, he told us he “couldn’t even get a foot in the door” with the US government, calling its focus on gate-based models “profoundly disappointing.” Now, if these reports are realized, the government won’t just have its foot in the door; it’ll have a seat at D-Wave’s table.

Benchmark Co. analyst David Williams said this “represents just one of several potential funding mechanisms likely to emerge as the US accelerates efforts to establish leadership in next-generation computing amid intensifying global competition, particularly from China,” citing figures from the Quantum Economic Development Consortium that show China’s public funding for the industry is roughly double that of the US.

“We believe these types of programs will further strengthen conviction in the quantum investment thesis, with growing public–private collaboration and policy support helping accelerate private-sector adoption, expand end-market applications, and drive the pace of innovation over the next several years,” he wrote.

The move builds on the governments recent investments in important sectors: in July, the Defense Department took a 15% stake in rare earth miner MP Materials to become its largest shareholder, followed by the federal government acquiring a 10% stake in chipmaker Intel in August.

Indeed, the rally in quantum computing stocks in September was spurred in part by rumors that the US government was looking to step up its support for the industry. This measure under discussion would certainly be more aggressive than what followed by the end of the month, when the Trump administration highlighted quantum computing as a top R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

The funding, if finalized, would mark Washingtons first direct bet on the fast-growing quantum computing field, which promises to perform complex calculations far faster than todays supercomputers, potentially accelerating breakthroughs in pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, AI, and more.

The companies reportedly discussing the deals remain deeply unprofitable, with all four companies (D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ, and Quantum Computing) posting net losses in their latest quarter — a fact that hasn’t stopped most of them from surging this year.

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United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

markets

POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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