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Quantum stocks soar after report that the Trump administration is in talks to invest directly in the sector

After speculation has swirled for weeks that the US government might consider investing in the quantum sector, discussions are now underway, with The Wall Street Journal reporting that the Trump administration is negotiating with several quantum computing companies about giving the US Commerce Department equity stakes in exchange for federal funding.

Companies in talks include IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, with each seeking a minimum of $10 million in funding, per the report, while others like Quantum Computing and privately held Atom Computing consider similar arrangements. The deals “haven’t been completed and might change.”

These stocks soared double digits on the initial news, and IonQ and Rigetti were the second- and third-most-traded stocks in the premarket, trailing only Tesla.

Separate sources also appeared to contradict the report. Per Reuters, a US Commerce Department official said over email that it is “not currently negotiating with any of the companies.” Quantum computing stocks all pared some of their advances after Yahoo Finance reported that taking equity stakes is “not necessarily something the Trump administration is considering,” citing a person familiar, adding that these companies (and many others) have pitched the government on buying a position.

Per JPMorgan’s Arun Jain, retail traders “are actively participating in the sharp rebound of quantum stocks,” with net purchases of about $136 million in these four stocks through 11 a.m. ET.

D-Wave Quantum is leading the rally in the cohort, and that makes some fundamental sense: this news would constitute a bigger shift in how the government feels about this particular company relative to its peers.

D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz had previously expressed feeling left out in the cold by the US government because its most prominent quantum computing technology utilizes annealing models, while its peers use gate-base models. Back in May, he told us he “couldn’t even get a foot in the door” with the US government, calling its focus on gate-based models “profoundly disappointing.” Now, if these reports are realized, the government won’t just have its foot in the door; it’ll have a seat at D-Wave’s table.

Benchmark Co. analyst David Williams said this “represents just one of several potential funding mechanisms likely to emerge as the US accelerates efforts to establish leadership in next-generation computing amid intensifying global competition, particularly from China,” citing figures from the Quantum Economic Development Consortium that show China’s public funding for the industry is roughly double that of the US.

“We believe these types of programs will further strengthen conviction in the quantum investment thesis, with growing public–private collaboration and policy support helping accelerate private-sector adoption, expand end-market applications, and drive the pace of innovation over the next several years,” he wrote.

The move builds on the governments recent investments in important sectors: in July, the Defense Department took a 15% stake in rare earth miner MP Materials to become its largest shareholder, followed by the federal government acquiring a 10% stake in chipmaker Intel in August.

Indeed, the rally in quantum computing stocks in September was spurred in part by rumors that the US government was looking to step up its support for the industry. This measure under discussion would certainly be more aggressive than what followed by the end of the month, when the Trump administration highlighted quantum computing as a top R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

The funding, if finalized, would mark Washingtons first direct bet on the fast-growing quantum computing field, which promises to perform complex calculations far faster than todays supercomputers, potentially accelerating breakthroughs in pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, AI, and more.

The companies reportedly discussing the deals remain deeply unprofitable, with all four companies (D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ, and Quantum Computing) posting net losses in their latest quarter — a fact that hasn’t stopped most of them from surging this year.

Companies in talks include IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, with each seeking a minimum of $10 million in funding, per the report, while others like Quantum Computing and privately held Atom Computing consider similar arrangements. The deals “haven’t been completed and might change.”

These stocks soared double digits on the initial news, and IonQ and Rigetti were the second- and third-most-traded stocks in the premarket, trailing only Tesla.

Separate sources also appeared to contradict the report. Per Reuters, a US Commerce Department official said over email that it is “not currently negotiating with any of the companies.” Quantum computing stocks all pared some of their advances after Yahoo Finance reported that taking equity stakes is “not necessarily something the Trump administration is considering,” citing a person familiar, adding that these companies (and many others) have pitched the government on buying a position.

Per JPMorgan’s Arun Jain, retail traders “are actively participating in the sharp rebound of quantum stocks,” with net purchases of about $136 million in these four stocks through 11 a.m. ET.

D-Wave Quantum is leading the rally in the cohort, and that makes some fundamental sense: this news would constitute a bigger shift in how the government feels about this particular company relative to its peers.

D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz had previously expressed feeling left out in the cold by the US government because its most prominent quantum computing technology utilizes annealing models, while its peers use gate-base models. Back in May, he told us he “couldn’t even get a foot in the door” with the US government, calling its focus on gate-based models “profoundly disappointing.” Now, if these reports are realized, the government won’t just have its foot in the door; it’ll have a seat at D-Wave’s table.

Benchmark Co. analyst David Williams said this “represents just one of several potential funding mechanisms likely to emerge as the US accelerates efforts to establish leadership in next-generation computing amid intensifying global competition, particularly from China,” citing figures from the Quantum Economic Development Consortium that show China’s public funding for the industry is roughly double that of the US.

“We believe these types of programs will further strengthen conviction in the quantum investment thesis, with growing public–private collaboration and policy support helping accelerate private-sector adoption, expand end-market applications, and drive the pace of innovation over the next several years,” he wrote.

The move builds on the governments recent investments in important sectors: in July, the Defense Department took a 15% stake in rare earth miner MP Materials to become its largest shareholder, followed by the federal government acquiring a 10% stake in chipmaker Intel in August.

Indeed, the rally in quantum computing stocks in September was spurred in part by rumors that the US government was looking to step up its support for the industry. This measure under discussion would certainly be more aggressive than what followed by the end of the month, when the Trump administration highlighted quantum computing as a top R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

The funding, if finalized, would mark Washingtons first direct bet on the fast-growing quantum computing field, which promises to perform complex calculations far faster than todays supercomputers, potentially accelerating breakthroughs in pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, AI, and more.

The companies reportedly discussing the deals remain deeply unprofitable, with all four companies (D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ, and Quantum Computing) posting net losses in their latest quarter — a fact that hasn’t stopped most of them from surging this year.

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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Why software shares are withstanding the war jitters

The outbreak of the war in Iran has clearly rattled investors and created a few clear winners — mostly energy stocks — and losers — consumer staples, airlines, and, well, more or else everything else.

But there is one interesting outlier to that Manichaean market dynamic.

Software shares — often the same companies that the market was giving up for dead just a few weeks ago due to overexpectations of an AI-driven disruption — have been holding up remarkably well.

These companies, including Intuit, ServiceNow, Datadog, Snowflake, IBM, Workday, and Oracle, have actually had a pretty decent run since the war started with a combined US-Israeli attack on Iran last weekend.

A new note from RBC Capital’s Rishi Jaluria suggests this isn’t just a fluke. Looking at the performance of software stocks during periods of geopolitical stress and market volatility over the last 10 and 25 years, his team found that software shares appear fairly well insulated when these broader shocks hit. RBC wrote:

“The defensive nature of SaaS models and the mission-critical nature of many core software systems at the enterprise level (e.g., in the absence of mass layoffs that may create seat-based headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and/or market volatility typically will not cause an enterprise CIO to consider ripping out their ERP, CRM, Cyber systems, etc.”

I briefly got Jaluria on the phone yesterday, and he explained a bit more about why he thinks investors might see software as a decent place to hide out from the current chaos.

“With everything in the Middle East, you have to think about not just oil and gas input prices but also supply chains,” he said. “With software, you’re not really thinking about that.”

In other words, there is no equivalent of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz that software investors have to worry about.

Others suggested that the near-term profitability of these giant software companies — aside from concerns about potential long-term disruption from AI — may look different in the face of the economic uncertainty that seems to be growing with the war, especially after a sell-off that has left them relatively attractively valued.

Mark Moerdler, who covers software stocks for Bernstein Research, says that while the AI worries are clearly real, software companies continue to be highly productive cash cows.

“Everyone is afraid that AI is a massive disruptor, and all these articles you read talk about AI as massive disruptor or the world is ending or whatever,” he said. “You don’t see it in the fundamental numbers of the companies I cover. They are delivering GAAP profits, free cash flow, and they’re good investment ideas.”

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