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Plug Power’s stock sinks on refinancing as company announces $375 million convertible senior notes offering

Plug Power, the hydrogen fuel supply company and part-time meme stock, was sent plummeting after-hours last night on news of a private convertible notes offering and refinancing, with the stock still down more than 15% as of 5:25 a.m. ET.

The offering comes with a provision to be upsized, and the company expects the initial sale of the notes to close on November 21, raising ~$347 million after expenses and discounts (or approximately $399 million if the initial purchasers exercise their option to purchase additional notes in full). The new notes will accrue interest at a rate of 6.75% per year and will mature in 2033, unless repurchased, redeemed, or converted earlier.

The offering will be used to clear older debts.

Per the press release, some $245.6 million of net proceeds will go toward paying off its 15% secured debentures, while the remaining $101.6 million will be combined with cash on hand to repurchase approximately $138 million worth of Plug Power’s 7.00% convertible senior notes due 2026.

The refinancing essentially swaps some debt paying 15% (and other debt paying 7% due in 2026), for some debt due 2033 with a lower interest rate. However, the deal naturally comes with the possibility of more dilution for shareholders, with the new notes convertible to equity at an initial conversion price of approximately $3.00 per share.

Sharp swings in PLUG are certainly nothing new — Sherwood News colleague Luke Kawa has, at various points, described the company as having “the most interesting stock chart in the history of mankind.” This latest offering comes about nine months after Plug Power’s CEO told Sherwood that the company had been “spending a lot of time in the debt market” thinking about how to address issues while putting “a lot of focus on how we don’t dilute shareholders and how to minimize that dilution.”

Meme stock runs, modestly positive results, and buzz around how the AI boom could lift the business’s financials haven’t managed to prevent the stock from slipping into the red for the year all told, down around 17% in 2025 so far.

The offering comes with a provision to be upsized, and the company expects the initial sale of the notes to close on November 21, raising ~$347 million after expenses and discounts (or approximately $399 million if the initial purchasers exercise their option to purchase additional notes in full). The new notes will accrue interest at a rate of 6.75% per year and will mature in 2033, unless repurchased, redeemed, or converted earlier.

The offering will be used to clear older debts.

Per the press release, some $245.6 million of net proceeds will go toward paying off its 15% secured debentures, while the remaining $101.6 million will be combined with cash on hand to repurchase approximately $138 million worth of Plug Power’s 7.00% convertible senior notes due 2026.

The refinancing essentially swaps some debt paying 15% (and other debt paying 7% due in 2026), for some debt due 2033 with a lower interest rate. However, the deal naturally comes with the possibility of more dilution for shareholders, with the new notes convertible to equity at an initial conversion price of approximately $3.00 per share.

Sharp swings in PLUG are certainly nothing new — Sherwood News colleague Luke Kawa has, at various points, described the company as having “the most interesting stock chart in the history of mankind.” This latest offering comes about nine months after Plug Power’s CEO told Sherwood that the company had been “spending a lot of time in the debt market” thinking about how to address issues while putting “a lot of focus on how we don’t dilute shareholders and how to minimize that dilution.”

Meme stock runs, modestly positive results, and buzz around how the AI boom could lift the business’s financials haven’t managed to prevent the stock from slipping into the red for the year all told, down around 17% in 2025 so far.

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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Why software shares are withstanding the war jitters

The outbreak of the war in Iran has clearly rattled investors and created a few clear winners — mostly energy stocks — and losers — consumer staples, airlines, and, well, more or else everything else.

But there is one interesting outlier to that Manichaean market dynamic.

Software shares — often the same companies that the market was giving up for dead just a few weeks ago due to overexpectations of an AI-driven disruption — have been holding up remarkably well.

These companies, including Intuit, ServiceNow, Datadog, Snowflake, IBM, Workday, and Oracle, have actually had a pretty decent run since the war started with a combined US-Israeli attack on Iran last weekend.

A new note from RBC Capital’s Rishi Jaluria suggests this isn’t just a fluke. Looking at the performance of software stocks during periods of geopolitical stress and market volatility over the last 10 and 25 years, his team found that software shares appear fairly well insulated when these broader shocks hit. RBC wrote:

“The defensive nature of SaaS models and the mission-critical nature of many core software systems at the enterprise level (e.g., in the absence of mass layoffs that may create seat-based headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and/or market volatility typically will not cause an enterprise CIO to consider ripping out their ERP, CRM, Cyber systems, etc.”

I briefly got Jaluria on the phone yesterday, and he explained a bit more about why he thinks investors might see software as a decent place to hide out from the current chaos.

“With everything in the Middle East, you have to think about not just oil and gas input prices but also supply chains,” he said. “With software, you’re not really thinking about that.”

In other words, there is no equivalent of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz that software investors have to worry about.

Others suggested that the near-term profitability of these giant software companies — aside from concerns about potential long-term disruption from AI — may look different in the face of the economic uncertainty that seems to be growing with the war, especially after a sell-off that has left them relatively attractively valued.

Mark Moerdler, who covers software stocks for Bernstein Research, says that while the AI worries are clearly real, software companies continue to be highly productive cash cows.

“Everyone is afraid that AI is a massive disruptor, and all these articles you read talk about AI as massive disruptor or the world is ending or whatever,” he said. “You don’t see it in the fundamental numbers of the companies I cover. They are delivering GAAP profits, free cash flow, and they’re good investment ideas.”

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