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Pinterest soars as its AI push lifts revenue outlook

Pinterest jumped 13% in early trading on Friday after the company delivered a Q1 revenue beat and higher-than-expected guidance, as its AI tools fueled stronger ad spending.

Revenue rose 16% to $855 million, topping the $846 million estimate, while adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.23, slightly below the $0.26 forecast, per FactSet. The company now expects to bring in $960 million to $980 million in Q2 revenue, marginally above expectations.

For a stock that’s been under pressure for the last year, falling some 35%, what might have sparked investors’ excitement was the user growth. Monthly active users on the “visual discovery platform” — which lets users search and save ideas through images and videos, curating boards around their interests like recipes, home decor, or weddings — rose 10% to a record 570 million, also exceeding the 564.6 million estimate.

Lately, Pinterest has been doubling down on AI, its “core competency” according to CEO Bill Ready, helping users find items by generating the right words or serving personalized ads tailored to their interests. And that bet seems to be paying off, particularly in North America, where Pinterest raked in an average revenue of $6.54 per user in Q1. That’s more than 6x the $1 in Europe, where rules are stricter for using personal data for advertising purposes.

Despite the AI-fueled optimism, rising tariffs loom as a potential headwind. Following the end of the de minimis exemption last week, some Asia-based e-commerce retailers have already pulled back on US ad spending, CFO Julia Donnelly said in the earnings call. While Pinterest is “not immune to the macro environment,” she added that the company remains confident in its “multiple revenue initiatives.”

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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Why software shares are withstanding the war jitters

The outbreak of the war in Iran has clearly rattled investors and created a few clear winners — mostly energy stocks — and losers — consumer staples, airlines, and, well, more or else everything else.

But there is one interesting outlier to that Manichaean market dynamic.

Software shares — often the same companies that the market was giving up for dead just a few weeks ago due to overexpectations of an AI-driven disruption — have been holding up remarkably well.

These companies, including Intuit, ServiceNow, Datadog, Snowflake, IBM, Workday, and Oracle, have actually had a pretty decent run since the war started with a combined US-Israeli attack on Iran last weekend.

A new note from RBC Capital’s Rishi Jaluria suggests this isn’t just a fluke. Looking at the performance of software stocks during periods of geopolitical stress and market volatility over the last 10 and 25 years, his team found that software shares appear fairly well insulated when these broader shocks hit. RBC wrote:

“The defensive nature of SaaS models and the mission-critical nature of many core software systems at the enterprise level (e.g., in the absence of mass layoffs that may create seat-based headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and/or market volatility typically will not cause an enterprise CIO to consider ripping out their ERP, CRM, Cyber systems, etc.”

I briefly got Jaluria on the phone yesterday, and he explained a bit more about why he thinks investors might see software as a decent place to hide out from the current chaos.

“With everything in the Middle East, you have to think about not just oil and gas input prices but also supply chains,” he said. “With software, you’re not really thinking about that.”

In other words, there is no equivalent of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz that software investors have to worry about.

Others suggested that the near-term profitability of these giant software companies — aside from concerns about potential long-term disruption from AI — may look different in the face of the economic uncertainty that seems to be growing with the war, especially after a sell-off that has left them relatively attractively valued.

Mark Moerdler, who covers software stocks for Bernstein Research, says that while the AI worries are clearly real, software companies continue to be highly productive cash cows.

“Everyone is afraid that AI is a massive disruptor, and all these articles you read talk about AI as massive disruptor or the world is ending or whatever,” he said. “You don’t see it in the fundamental numbers of the companies I cover. They are delivering GAAP profits, free cash flow, and they’re good investment ideas.”

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