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Peloton shares cycle higher after the connected fitness giant gets a rare buy rating on Wall Street

Canaccord analysts believe the company has finally reached a turning point.

Peloton shares biked up nearly 13% late Friday afternoon after the embattled connected fitness company got a green light on Wall Street.

On Friday, Canaccord Genuity analyst Susan Anderson upgraded the stock’s rating from hold to buy and maintained the firm’s $10 price target, implying a 45% premium from its current share price. Once a pandemic darling, Peloton has had a tough ride trying to convince customers to splurge on $1,500-plus bikes and treadmills. But the company has shifted gears in recent years, instead focusing on a services-first model that offers a variety of subscription-based workout classes. 

The strategy is starting to pay off: last month, Peloton topped Q2 sales expectations and raised its full-year EBITDA guidance to $300 million to $350 million, compared with its previous estimates of $240 million to $290 million. Looking ahead, Canaccord is optimistic about Peloton’s strength in the connected fitness industry, including its 6 million loyal member base and high-margin, recurring revenue streams.

“We believe Peloton’s category-leading position in connected fitness sets them up well to follow similar playbooks that other category-defining consumer brands have executed on (i.e. Nike expanding into apparel, Uber into delivery),” Anderson said. Peloton shares are up 58% over the past year.

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Nvidia gains on report that Chinese officials told domestic tech champions to progress with plans for H200 imports

The “will Xi, won’t Xi?” of Nvidia’s quest to send AI chips to China got some positive news, reversing a string of recent negative reports.

Per Bloomberg, Chinese officials told leading domestic tech champions including Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance that they can progress in their preparations to import Nvidia’s H200 chips, and “are now cleared to discuss specifics such as the amounts they would require,” citing people familiar with the matter.

Shares are up 1.5% as of 8:06 a.m. ET.

The outlet had previously reported that China would begin to allow H200 imports for commercial use “as soon as this quarter.” However, that was followed by reports from The Information, the Financial Times, and Reuters that Chinese companies’ ability to access these AI chips would be limited and that suppliers had paused production following what was tantamount to an import ban.

The seemingly conflicting reports from various outlets reflect the tug-of-war within the Chinese policy apparatus, which aims to balance competing priorities: bolstering its AI capabilities (which argues for using the best technology available, even if that’s from foreign sources) and supporting the development of its domestic semiconductor manufacturing industry (which pushes in the opposite direction).

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Alaska Airlines dips following weaker-than-expected 2026 earnings guidance

Alaska Airlines, America’s fifth-largest airline, reported its fourth-quarter and full-year results for 2025 after the market closed Thursday. Its shares fell 2% in after hours trading.

The airline reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of $0.43 per share, beating the $0.11 expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. Its Q4 passenger revenue climbed 2% to $3.25 billion.

For the current quarter, Alaska guided for a 1% to 2% increase in capacity and an adjusted loss of $1.50 to $0.50 per share, compared to the $0.77 loss per share expected by analysts. The airline forecast full-year earnings of between $3.50 and $6.50 per share for 2026. The $5 per share midpoint falls short of analyst estimates of $5.52.

“To hit the higher end of our guidance range we would require sustained macroeconomic recovery in 2026, at or improving on trends seen in the first three weeks of the year, and for fuel prices to stabilize,” the company said in its report.

Earlier this month, the carrier placed its largest ever plane order, securing 110 Boeing jets to support its international growth ambitions. It plans to add flights to Rome, London, and Iceland this summer, and has said it will boost its premium seat offerings this year — in-line with a wider trend of travel trends reflecting a “K-shaped economy.”

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