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Palantir up early after Friday’s late-day plunge

Retail favorite, top S&P 500 gainer, and Trump stock par excellence Palantir is up early after a partnership deal was announced with Accenture Federal Services centering on Palantir’s growing AI software business with Uncle Sam.

Essentially, Palantir will train and certify some 1,000 Accenture employees, who will install and help implement the company’s AI software packages throughout the federal government.

The deal could offer some real benefits to the way Palantir interacts with its single largest customer: the US federal government.

That relationship appears to be expanding rapidly under the Trump administration. But the increasing linkages are raising concerns both about threats to the privacy of American citizens as well as the character of the company’s leadership and the potential influence of the Palantir’s cofounder and largest individual shareholder, Peter Thiel. The Republican megadonor and right-wing ideologue famously penned a personal statement for the Cato Institute in 2009 in which he declared, “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.”

Just this morning, liberal American economist Robert Reich published a piece with the not particularly subtle headline, “Peter Thiel’s Palantir poses a grave threat.” The concern is not just among the liberal left, either — bro-centric podcaster Theo Von also says of Palantir, “I’m scared of it.”

Bad press doesn’t seem to pose much of a threat to the business at the moment, but the company’s federal contracting business could come in for closer scrutiny should Democrats retake control of one or perhaps both houses of Congress in next year’s midterms.

For a Palantir executive called to testify about its operations, one could imagine the utility of being able to say the software was installed and implemented by a seasoned, sleepy federal contracting company like Accenture, a potentially comforting factor for elected officials.

At any rate, the market seems to like the deal, helping the shares claw back some of the losses seen in a waterfall finish to trading last week. With few obvious catalysts, Palantir plunged in the last 10 minutes of trading Friday, pushing its losses from about 4% to more than 9%.

The deal could offer some real benefits to the way Palantir interacts with its single largest customer: the US federal government.

That relationship appears to be expanding rapidly under the Trump administration. But the increasing linkages are raising concerns both about threats to the privacy of American citizens as well as the character of the company’s leadership and the potential influence of the Palantir’s cofounder and largest individual shareholder, Peter Thiel. The Republican megadonor and right-wing ideologue famously penned a personal statement for the Cato Institute in 2009 in which he declared, “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.”

Just this morning, liberal American economist Robert Reich published a piece with the not particularly subtle headline, “Peter Thiel’s Palantir poses a grave threat.” The concern is not just among the liberal left, either — bro-centric podcaster Theo Von also says of Palantir, “I’m scared of it.”

Bad press doesn’t seem to pose much of a threat to the business at the moment, but the company’s federal contracting business could come in for closer scrutiny should Democrats retake control of one or perhaps both houses of Congress in next year’s midterms.

For a Palantir executive called to testify about its operations, one could imagine the utility of being able to say the software was installed and implemented by a seasoned, sleepy federal contracting company like Accenture, a potentially comforting factor for elected officials.

At any rate, the market seems to like the deal, helping the shares claw back some of the losses seen in a waterfall finish to trading last week. With few obvious catalysts, Palantir plunged in the last 10 minutes of trading Friday, pushing its losses from about 4% to more than 9%.

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US unemployment rate rises for 4 consecutive readings, first time since 2009

A double dose of long-delayed jobs data landed this morning, with the release of nonfarm payrolls for October and November.

The unemployment rate rose by more than expected to 4.6% in November, while 64,000 jobs were added.

Economists expected nonfarm payrolls growth of 50,000 with the unemployment rate edging higher to 4.5%.

The US unemployment rate has now risen for four consecutive readings for the first time since June 2009.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF was little changed in the aftermath of this data.

Event contracts indicated that the masses thought nonfarm payrolls growth for November would come in above 25,000 (74%) but below 100,000 (with above that level having a probability of 21%) heading into this release.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. Event contracts trading is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, a registered futures commission merchant with the CFTC.)

This was a messy set of data, as these reports had been long delayed in light of the government shutdown, and no unemployment rate was produced for October.

The delayed impact of federal government buyouts related to DOGE meaningfully weighed on October’s nonfarm payrolls figure, which contracted by 105,000. More than all of this was tied to a 162,000 decline in federal government jobs. Private payrolls rose by 52,000 in the 10th month of the year.

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Needham hikes price target on Micron by 50% to $300 ahead of earnings on tight memory chip supplies

Needham analyst Quinn Bolton boosted his price target on Micron to $300 from $200 ahead of its Q1 fiscal 2026 results, scheduled to be released on Wednesday.

While there have been numerous media reports that try to pin down who gets what in different prominent AI supply chains, the simple story here is that there’s effectively an oligopoly for dynamic random access memory chips (Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix), and these companies have pricing power because of limited supply and elevated AI-fueled demand.

“We believe industry supply/demand is far tighter than management expected on its F4Q25 (Aug) earnings call,” Bolton wrote. “We expect industry supply will remain constrained throughout 2026 as Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix are all constrained by clean room space and can only rely on node transitions to increase bit shipments in the near term.”

In other words, these companies are so capacity-constrained that the only way to sell more memory is to sell better chips as they move to more advanced editions.

“We note management recently confirmed the company’s HBM3E and HBM4 capacity is sold out for CY2026 and believe HBM continues to carry above corporate and DRAM average gross margin,” he wrote.

Bolton also boosted his estimates for full-year sales for Micron’s next two fiscal years by 8% and 14%, respectively, and adjusted earnings per share by 18% and 30%, respectively. Even so, all of these figures remain a little below the consensus estimate.

Wall Street analysts have been scrambling to rightsize their views on Micron ahead of earnings. The average price target has gone up by a whopping 67% over the last three months, and the shares spent the vast majority of time from late October through last week trading above the consensus outlook.

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Pfizer gives 2026 guidance, with sales set to slow and EPS forecast below consensus

Pfizer edged higher in premarket trading after reaffirming its 2025 guidance and giving analysts a fresh steer on 2026.

The company said it expects 2026 annual adjusted earnings per share to hit between $2.80 and $3.00, lower than the $3.05 analysts polled by FactSet are currently penciling in.

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