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Palantir soars
Palantir CEO Alex Karp (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Palantir soars to new record closing high

Euphoria is building in the shares once again after the company posted a classic beat and raise in its Q2 earnings report this week.

Matt Phillips

Palantir finished the week strong, closing at a new record high of $186.96 on a weekly gain of 21% after its Monday earnings report seemed to meet sky-high expectations implied by the company’s arguably insane valuation metrics.

The excitement surrounding shares of the government data contractor and AI software company reaccelerated amid a wave of price target hikes from Wall Street analysts in the aftermath of the strong report.

In fact, the consensus price target for Palantir shares among Wall Street analysts covering the stock jumped 30%, up to $150 a share from $115.50 just before the numbers were released to the market Monday.

For the record, the Wall Street hive mind had a price target of $25 a share on Palantir a year ago, so it doesn’t exactly have a great track record on the stock. It’s also had a devil of a time getting on the right side of it. The last jump in the collective price target on Palantir came in February right before a fairly steep sell-off.

This time, however, the share price is outrunning Wall Street’s higher targets. Palantir jumped roughly 20% for the week, a gain that added to the stunning amounts of capital appreciation that have put Palantir on track to be the top stock in the S&P 500 for second straight year. It’s up nearly 150% year to date and roughly 675% over the last 12 months.

It should also be noted that even though Palantir’s Q2 numbers were great and estimates for earnings and sales have risen, the outsized share price jump this week means that Palantir’s valuation is only getting more extreme compared to its market contemporaries and also historical high-water marks for valuation — think the dot-com boom of the 1990s — that were followed by price crashes. But there’s clearly no crash in the offing today, and in fact quite the opposite.

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Microsoft is in talks to shift its custom chip business to Broadcom from Marvell, The Information reports

The Information’s profile of custom chip specialist Broadcom includes this tidbit:

“And now Microsoft is also in talks to design future chips with Broadcom, which would involve Microsoft switching its business from Marvell, another maker of custom chips, according to one person involved in the discussions.”

Shares of Marvell Technology briefly dipped into the red after this report hit the wires, but then pared that drop to trade modestly higher. The company codesigns the Maia line of ASICs for Microsoft that are custom-built for Azure. Microsoft is its second-biggest hyperscaler client, behind Amazon.

Marvell tumbled on a ho-hum earnings report earlier this week before going on to surge after CEO Matt Murphy offered a $10 billion revenue target for its upcoming fiscal year, which was above analysts’ expectations.

Perhaps this is a bit of Information fatigue, given how Microsoft was quick to deny a report from the outlet earlier this week about how the tech giant lowered its sales targets for AI products.

markets

Memory stocks soar as AI supporting cast repairs damage from steep November declines

There’s not much rhyme or reason to it, but memory stocks are ending the week with a stellar showing.

Shares of high-bandwidth memory specialist Micron, hard disk drive sellers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital, and flash memory company Sandisk are all rising today.

Three of these stocks dropped about 20% in November as credit risk seeping into AI and a downturn in speculative momentum stocks weighed on the theme, with Sandisk faring the worst.

Micron, Western Digital, and Seagate have all since rebounded strongly and are about 5% or less from reclaiming all-time highs, while Sandisk has made up the least ground.

While GPUs (and, more recently, TPUs) get most of the headlines, data centers also need a boatload of memory chips that store information and feed it to those processors.

markets

Ulta soars as Q3 beat sparks flood of price target hikes

Ulta’s latest makeover is happening on Wall Street. Shares leapt Friday morning as analysts hiked their price targets after the beauty retailer topped Q3 estimates and raised its full-year outlook after the bell Thursday.

Earnings came in at $5.14 per share, handily beating analyst expectations of $4.64. Revenue also topped estimates at $2.86 billion, compared with the $2.72 billion expected. Ulta has benefited from resilient beauty spending, even as consumers pull back elsewhere and hunt more aggressively for discounts.

Ulta now expects full-year net sales of about $12.3 billion, up from a prior forecast of $12.0 billion to $12.1 billion. The retailer also lifted its earnings outlook to $25.20 to $25.50 per share, up from $23.85 to $24.30 previously. This marks Ulta’s second straight quarter of hiking its sales and profit forecast. Analysts are taking note:

  • Goldman Sachs maintained its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $642 from $584.

  • DA Davidson maintained its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $650 from $625.

  • JPMorgan maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $647 from $606.

  • Baird maintained its “outperform” rating and hiked its price target to $670 from $600.

  • Telsey Advisory maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $640 from $610.

  • Piper Sandler maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $615 from $590.

  • Canaccord Genuity maintained its “neutral” rating and raised its price target to $674 from $654.

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Southwest cuts its earnings outlook on lost revenue due to government shutdown

Another big four airline has put a price tag on the 43-day government shutdown.

Southwest Airlines on Friday said lower revenue due to a temporary decline in demand during the shutdown, together with higher fuel costs, will ding its annual earnings before interest and taxes by between $100 million and $300 million. The carrier lowered its full-year EBIT outlook to $500 million, down from a prior range of $600 million to $800 million.

According to Southwest’s filing, bookings have returned to previous expectations following the end of the shutdown. Its shares dipped down about 1% in premarket trading.

The carrier joins Delta Air Lines in assigning a cost to the government closure. Earlier this week, Delta said the shutdown would cost it $200 million in the fourth quarter.

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