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Alex Karp Palantir CEO
Palantir boss Alex Karp (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Palantir slumps after announcement of joining Nasdaq 100

Buy the news, sell the fact.

Matt Phillips

Palantir Technologies slumped on strong trading Monday, a somewhat anticlimactic reaction to its announced inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index after the close on Friday.

As we’ve pointed out — and certain members of the company’s board seemed to confirm — getting added to the list of the largest nonfinancial firms traded on that exchange seemed to be something of a goal for the company, which transferred its listing to the Nasdaq last month.

That’s because addition to these market benchmarks create built-in demand for the stock. The Nasdaq 100 is the foundation for the popular Invesco QQQ Trust — which has more than $300 billion in assets. In order for the managers of the fund to match the performance of the underlying index they have to buy the stocks on the list, come hell or high water.

A similar dynamic was at play back in September, when Palantir was added to the mother of all market indexes, the S&P 500. (The stock has more than doubled since that was announced on September 6.)

As you can see in the chart above, that addition mechanically boosted the ownership of the stock by the giant institutions that operate index-fund companies BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street Global Advisors. The stock price is up more than 130% since the announcement of Palantir’s inclusion in the S&P 500.

Best of all, at least from the perspective of management, is that these institutional owners are agnostic about how the company is actually doing. As long as the stocks are on the list, these funds will own ‘em, which would seem to create a pretty compliant shareholder base that likely won’t squawk much during periods of underperformance.

Such membership privileges have its limits, though. If a company goes off the rails, the price plunges, and it’s booted from an index, it can be pretty painful, as Super Micro Computer is finding today.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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