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Protesters outside a New York City Tesla dealership on March 1 (Leonardo Munoz/Getty Images)

Palantir shareholders unsure if Musk’s attention is a good thing or not

The tech oligarch’s de facto takeover of the federal bureaucracy has huge implications for the company, whose biggest client remains the US government.

Matt Phillips
3/3/25 11:56AM

Elon Musk has been a fan of Palantir and its brash CEO for a while now. Over the weekend, he again demonstrated his support for Alex Karp after his new book topped The New York Times’ list of nonfiction bestsellers.

But not everyone seems comfortable with the level of attention the Tesla CEO is giving Palantir. While Musk’s Trump adjacency made Tesla one of the big winners of the market’s postelection run-up last year, his close association with right-wing politics both in the US and worldwide has had costs as well. Amid cratering sales in Europe, and signals that China sees Tesla as a potential point of leverage on the administration, Tesla stock has cratered by over 40% since December.

Over at a subreddit frequented by Palantir shareholders, Musk’s latest endorsement for Karp prompted a wave of debate both from those uncomfortable with his politics and work for the Trump administration ...

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byu/Fun-Journalist2276 from discussion
inPLTR

... to those who see a closer association with Musk as a clear boon to Palantir...

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byu/Fun-Journalist2276 from discussion
inPLTR

... and others who essentially say their investment in Palantir was premised in part on what they see as the potential corruption of the Trump administration and DOGE.

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byu/Fun-Journalist2276 from discussion
inPLTR

Musk’s position as the Trump administration’s semiofficial deputy, tasked with cutting the federal workforce and taking unprecedented control of key parts of the US government’s tech infrastructure, could clearly be consequential for Palantir. The data analytics and AI software company’s main customer remains the US government, due to its long standing focus on defense and intelligence applications.

On Wall Street, analysts have been trying to game out how the Trump administration’s DC disruptions — including potentially unprecedented cuts to defense spending and Musk’s DOGE — will work out for contractors.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, a longtime Palantir bull, wrote in a note out Monday:

“Palantir is so well positioned for this new disciplined spending environment at the Pentagon and this will ultimately be a positive growth catalyst as the various programs are scrutinized and as Karp & Co. get a bigger seat at the table in the Beltway. We also believe Palantir is attached to many programs/contracts in the DOD that are safe and not at risk of getting cut in this new spending climate given their high priority.”

Likewise, BofA analysts suggested in a note that some software and IT services companies would benefit from the administration’s cuts to the federal workforce:

“We see the cohort as net beneficiaries in a market landscape measured by modernization, efficiency, and outsourcing. Booz Allen Hamilton (Booz Allen Hamilton) and Palantir (PLTR) are most strongly positioned to early DOGE actions, in our view.”

At any rate, both Tesla and Palantir are up on the day, after tumbling 20% and 30% over the last two weeks, suggesting that the “bro bubble” may have a bit of air left in it yet.

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Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

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More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

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Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

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Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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