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Palantir bounces, but damage has been done

Recent investors are deeply underwater, but bulls urge holding on.

Matt Phillips
3/11/25 11:59AM

Retail fave Palantir bounced on Tuesday after suffering a 10% tumble in Monday’s bloodletting. It was the data analytics and AI software company’s second 10% drop in three sessions.

Palantir has been one of a number so-called Trump trades — including Tesla and bitcoin — that seemed to be trying to find their footing on Tuesday after a weekslong market sell-off that went into overdrive on Monday. (The S&P 500’s 2.7% drop yesterday was the market’s worst day of the year.)

The steep sell-off in Palantir shares has been deeply painful for investors. Since the stock peaked at an all-time high of more than $124 a share on February 18, it’s plunged by almost 40%. The plunge has vaporized more than $100 billion in market cap from Palantir, leaving recent investors deeply underwater.

The slump has also deeply damaged the technical momentum the stocks have maintained for much of the last year, with Palantir crashing below its 50-day moving index. (Don’t forget in 2024, Palantir was the best-performing stock in the S&P 500, with a 340% gain.)

Despite the pain, tech bulls continue to argue that holding on to companies like Palantir is the right move despite the downdraft for large-cap tech shares.

Palantir bull Dan Ives wrote this after yesterday’s market rout.

“We clearly have misjudged the market reaction to the Trump Policy Bazooka to hit the markets this year. Our bullish calls on Tesla, Nvidia, and many of the Mag 7 have been upside down this year... but our stock calls are not for the next few months... it’s for where we see these tech names over the next 1, 3, and 5 years. Despite much criticism, that is how we have always called our tech winners and many times over the years with Tesla, Apple, Google, Nvidia, Amazon, Palantir among others our backs were against the wall and the times appeared dark at that moment... but yet those were the golden opportunities and that is our view today.”

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Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

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More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

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Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

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Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

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