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Oracle sinks as cloud division misses and company plans $15 billion more capex

Shares of Oracle fell in after-hours trading Wednesday — and remained under pressure in the premarket session Thursday morning, down more than 11% as of 5:20 a.m. ET — after a headline beat on earnings was overshadowed by softer revenue.

Adjusted earnings per share were $2.26, up 54% year on year, blowing past analyst expectations of $1.64 per share. However, this beat was primarily due to the disposal of its Ampere chip company to SoftBank, which boosted pretax earnings by $0.91 per diluted share, Barron’s reported.

Revenue for the quarter was $16.06 billion, up 14% year on year but missing estimates of $16.2 billion.

The big weakness weighing most heavily on the stock this morning seems to be Oracle’s cloud computing unit, where sales came in at $8 billion for the quarter, up 34% year on year. Analysts had been expecting $8.8 billion.

The other major talking point heading into the print — how much Oracle was investing in capex for new data centers — has proven to be another sticking point again. On the earnings call, Doug Kehring, the company’s principal financial officer, said:

...given the added RPO this quarter that can be monetized quickly starting next year, we now expect fiscal 2026 CapEx will be about $15 billion higher than we forecasted after Q1.

That will do little to alleviate concerns around Oracle’s diverging free cash flow and net income, though the company’s execs did also say that they expect total cloud revenue to grow 40% to 44% in the coming quarter. Leadership also said they believe they can convert some of the added backlog to revenue sooner than expected, adding $4 billion of “additional revenue in FY27.”

Oracle shares got a huge boost in September, after the company announced a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, but all of that value has since disappeared. Shares are up 30% for the year so far.

Last quarter, Oracle reported $455 billion in RPOs (remaining performance obligations, or backlogged business). For this quarter, the figure was up to $528 billion, having risen 438% from the same period last year.

On selling its interest in the Ampere chip company, Oracle Chairman and CTO Larry Ellison said:

“We are now committed to a policy of chip neutrality where we work closely with all our CPU and GPU suppliers. Of course, we will continue to buy the latest GPUs from Nvidia, but we need to be prepared and able to deploy whatever chips our customers want to buy. There are going to be a lot of changes in AI technology over the next few years and we must remain agile in response to those changes.”

Oracle shares got a huge boost in September, after the company announced a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, but all of that value has since disappeared. Shares are up 30% for the year so far.

Last quarter, Oracle reported $455 billion in RPOs (remaining performance obligations, or backlogged business). For this quarter, the figure was up to $528 billion, having risen 438% from the same period last year.

On selling its interest in the Ampere chip company, Oracle Chairman and CTO Larry Ellison said:

“We are now committed to a policy of chip neutrality where we work closely with all our CPU and GPU suppliers. Of course, we will continue to buy the latest GPUs from Nvidia, but we need to be prepared and able to deploy whatever chips our customers want to buy. There are going to be a lot of changes in AI technology over the next few years and we must remain agile in response to those changes.”

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Oil settles Friday at highest level since start of war

US oil prices moved higher in afternoon trading Friday, sapping strength from the stock market as they posted their highest close since the start of the Iran war.

After another day where the Strait of Hormuz was essentially closed to global tanker traffic, US futures for West Texas Intermediate settled up 3.1% at $98.71 a barrel for an 8.6% weekly gain, per Dow Jones data.

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

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Memory stocks rebound off last weeks losses

Memory stocks Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings rose again Friday, putting these crucial providers of chips for AI inference work on track for big weekly gains after last week’s steep losses following the outbreak of war with Iran.

There’s no obvious trigger for the move higher for these shares this week, other than a bit of a recovery in the AI trade more broadly — AI beneficiaries like IT cable and connections maker Amphenol and custom chip and networking company Marvell Technology clawed back some gains this week — perhaps due Oracle’s earnings earlier, and some mean reversion to boot.

Micron is due to report earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, with the company catching a couple price target hikes this week, including one from Wedbush on Friday.

Sandisk is something of a different story, as its enormous gains over the last 12 months — roughly 1,200% — have made it a momentum play beloved by the retail crowd.

It was up about 20% this week at around 11 a.m. ET. And its nearly 170% gain this year keeps the stock on top of the S&P 500, in terms of price performance.

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