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Nvidia rises after Reuters reports that China has approved the sale of 400,000 H200 chips to Chinese tech firms

Nvidia rose around 1.6% in premarket trading Wednesday after Reuters reported that Chinese authorities have approved ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent to collectively buy more than 400,000 of the companys H200 chips, with other firms expected to seek approval in subsequent rounds.

Based on previous reporting from the outlet on pricing (at $27,000 a pop), this initial batch of sales would amount to a near $11 billion boost to Nvidia’s top line.

This news follows a Bloomberg report published late last week that Chinese officials had told these companies to progress in their preparations for importing H200s. Collectively, these two pieces of news may help alleviate fears that China was effectively banning or significantly limiting imports of these AI chips, as the Financial Times and The Information had suggested. The approval follows CEO Jensen Huangs visit to China this weekend, and comes with conditions that are still being finalized — with one source saying theyre so restrictive that some firms have yet to convert the approvals into actual purchase orders.

Per Reuters, Chinese tech companies want to order more than 2 million H200s, far more than the chip designer has in inventory. The number of chips that make their way into the world’s second-largest economy may ultimately be limited by a stipulation issued by the US Commerce Department that exports to China and Macau cannot exceed 50% of what’s sold to US customers, or a potential cap imposed by China.

While the US government adjusted export rules to allow Nvidias H200 shipments to China earlier this month, Beijings final approval remains the key hurdle. In deciding whether (or how many) foreign AI chips can enter the country, Chinese policymakers are aiming to strike a balance between bolstering AI capabilities and supporting the development of its domestic semiconductor industries. Reports suggest their solution, in this case, would involve requiring companies that import H200s (or similar AI chips) to also buy a certain amount of domestically produced semiconductors.

This news follows a Bloomberg report published late last week that Chinese officials had told these companies to progress in their preparations for importing H200s. Collectively, these two pieces of news may help alleviate fears that China was effectively banning or significantly limiting imports of these AI chips, as the Financial Times and The Information had suggested. The approval follows CEO Jensen Huangs visit to China this weekend, and comes with conditions that are still being finalized — with one source saying theyre so restrictive that some firms have yet to convert the approvals into actual purchase orders.

Per Reuters, Chinese tech companies want to order more than 2 million H200s, far more than the chip designer has in inventory. The number of chips that make their way into the world’s second-largest economy may ultimately be limited by a stipulation issued by the US Commerce Department that exports to China and Macau cannot exceed 50% of what’s sold to US customers, or a potential cap imposed by China.

While the US government adjusted export rules to allow Nvidias H200 shipments to China earlier this month, Beijings final approval remains the key hurdle. In deciding whether (or how many) foreign AI chips can enter the country, Chinese policymakers are aiming to strike a balance between bolstering AI capabilities and supporting the development of its domestic semiconductor industries. Reports suggest their solution, in this case, would involve requiring companies that import H200s (or similar AI chips) to also buy a certain amount of domestically produced semiconductors.

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United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

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POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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