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Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang Unveils New  Innovations At CES 2025
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang presenting in Las Vegas on January 6, 2025 (Artur Widak/Getty Images)

Nvidia Q3 earnings and sales beat estimates; Q4 sales outlook well ahead of expectations

Unlike Q2, data center revenues handily beat estimates, and management guided for sales to rise $8 billion from Q3 to Q4.

Luke Kawa

Nvidia is reminding everyone how great it is to be the stock at the center of the AI boom, posting Q3 sales and earnings beats along with a very robust Q4 revenue outlook.

For the three months ended October 26, the chip designer reported:

Sales growth accelerated to 62.5% year-on-year, breaking a six-quarter streak of deceleration.

“Blackwell sales are off the charts, and cloud GPUs are sold out,” CEO Jensen Huang said.

Looking ahead to the current quarter, management offered the following outlook:

Shares, which ended the day up about 3%, are building on those gains in the after-hours session.

“Tonight the markets and tech stocks got a pop the champagne moment with Nvidia's robust earnings and guidance,” wrote Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.

Appetite for Nvidia’s chips isn’t really in question in the short term: on October 28, Huang said the company had already received more than $500 billion in orders for its Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips through 2026. And announcements since then, like this week’s partnership with Microsoft and Anthropic as well as Nvidia’s participation in Brookfield’s newly launched AI infrastructure fund, are poised to swell that pipeline of future sales even further. On the conference call, the company will likely face questions about stresses in parts of the AI supply chain and if those will hamper its ability to deliver on orders or weigh on margins.

Shares slid after Nvidia reported second-quarter results in late August as data center revenues were slightly shy of estimates despite firm demand, hinting that the real issue at the time was boosting production to meet that appetite.

At the time, Huang said Blackwell Ultra was “ramping at full speed” and that “we expect to have a much more mature and fully scaled-up supply chain” by the time its Rubin platform was ready for prime time. For this quarter at least, Huang appears to have answered some of those nascent doubts.

These strong results are also boosting many AI-adjacent stocks, from other chip companies, to neoclouds, to data center firms.

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Luke Kawa

Microsoft is in talks to shift its custom chip business to Broadcom from Marvell, The Information reports

The Information’s profile of custom chip specialist Broadcom includes this tidbit:

“And now Microsoft is also in talks to design future chips with Broadcom, which would involve Microsoft switching its business from Marvell, another maker of custom chips, according to one person involved in the discussions.”

Shares of Marvell Technology briefly dipped into the red after this report hit the wires, but then pared that drop to trade modestly higher. The company codesigns the Maia line of ASICs for Microsoft that are custom-built for Azure. Microsoft is its second-biggest hyperscaler client, behind Amazon.

Marvell tumbled on a ho-hum earnings report earlier this week before going on to surge after CEO Matt Murphy offered a $10 billion revenue target for its upcoming fiscal year, which was above analysts’ expectations.

Perhaps this is a bit of Information fatigue, given how Microsoft was quick to deny a report from the outlet earlier this week about how the tech giant lowered its sales targets for AI products.

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Luke Kawa

Memory stocks soar as AI supporting cast repairs damage from steep November declines

There’s not much rhyme or reason to it, but memory stocks are ending the week with a stellar showing.

Shares of high-bandwidth memory specialist Micron, hard disk drive sellers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital, and flash memory company Sandisk are all rising today.

Three of these stocks dropped about 20% in November as credit risk seeping into AI and a downturn in speculative momentum stocks weighed on the theme, with Sandisk faring the worst.

Micron, Western Digital, and Seagate have all since rebounded strongly and are about 5% or less from reclaiming all-time highs, while Sandisk has made up the least ground.

While GPUs (and, more recently, TPUs) get most of the headlines, data centers also need a boatload of memory chips that store information and feed it to those processors.

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Ulta soars as Q3 beat sparks flood of price target hikes

Ulta’s latest makeover is happening on Wall Street. Shares leapt Friday morning as analysts hiked their price targets after the beauty retailer topped Q3 estimates and raised its full-year outlook after the bell Thursday.

Earnings came in at $5.14 per share, handily beating analyst expectations of $4.64. Revenue also topped estimates at $2.86 billion, compared with the $2.72 billion expected. Ulta has benefited from resilient beauty spending, even as consumers pull back elsewhere and hunt more aggressively for discounts.

Ulta now expects full-year net sales of about $12.3 billion, up from a prior forecast of $12.0 billion to $12.1 billion. The retailer also lifted its earnings outlook to $25.20 to $25.50 per share, up from $23.85 to $24.30 previously. This marks Ulta’s second straight quarter of hiking its sales and profit forecast. Analysts are taking note:

  • Goldman Sachs maintained its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $642 from $584.

  • DA Davidson maintained its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $650 from $625.

  • JPMorgan maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $647 from $606.

  • Baird maintained its “outperform” rating and hiked its price target to $670 from $600.

  • Telsey Advisory maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $640 from $610.

  • Piper Sandler maintained its “outperform” rating and raised its price target to $615 from $590.

  • Canaccord Genuity maintained its “neutral” rating and raised its price target to $674 from $654.

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Southwest cuts its earnings outlook on lost revenue due to government shutdown

Another big four airline has put a price tag on the 43-day government shutdown.

Southwest Airlines on Friday said lower revenue due to a temporary decline in demand during the shutdown, together with higher fuel costs, will ding its annual earnings before interest and taxes by between $100 million and $300 million. The carrier lowered its full-year EBIT outlook to $500 million, down from a prior range of $600 million to $800 million.

According to Southwest’s filing, bookings have returned to previous expectations following the end of the shutdown. Its shares dipped down about 1% in premarket trading.

The carrier joins Delta Air Lines in assigning a cost to the government closure. Earlier this week, Delta said the shutdown would cost it $200 million in the fourth quarter.

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