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Some of the craziest charts in market history all have one thing in common: Nvidia

In just two years, Nvidia shares have created more than $2.5 trillion in market value.

Some market phenomena are hard to put into words. This is especially true in Nvidia’s case, where it’s worth letting the charts do the talking.

Both Wall Street traders and retail investors who have ridden this stock to remarkable heights will be tuning in after the close of trading on Wednesday, when the chipmaker at the heart of the generative AI boom is set to release its latest report on sales and profits.

Expectations are big, with analysts expecting the angle of incline on Nvidia’s sales to get even steeper, with fiscal second quarter sales to more than double last year’s level for the second straight year, climbing to nearly $29 billion.

Profits, are likewise expected to double, with analysts expecting a 143% jump to more than $15 billion. Some bullish observers think they could rise as high as $16.2 billion in the fiscal second quarter.

The market has taken those numbers and projected them ad infinitum, which is why Nvidia’s stock price has become, over the last couple years, one of the truly remarkable stories in stock market history.

In just two years, Nvidia shares have created more than $2.5 trillion in market value, transforming itself into one of the largest companies in the world. Microsoft and Apple, its two rivals in terms of market heft, spent decades bulking up to that level.

In fact, Nvidia’s stock market capitalization alone is worth more than the entirety of the German stock market, and roughly rivals the value of the Paris Bourse.

Academics who study the history of the stock market say such periods of remarkable outperformance simply cannot last. On the other hand, it’s tough to say when Nvidia’s run will end. So we, like everyone else, will be tuning in for the numbers on Wednesday.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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