Markets
Yiwen Lu

U.S. stocks down heavily as volatility has its biggest-ever intraday spike

U.S. stocks plunged on Monday. The S&P 500 was down as much as 4.25 percent in early trading, its biggest one-day drop since September 2022, but that proved to be the low point as the benchmark US stock gauge ended down 3 percent. The Nasdaq composite was down 3.43 percent, while the price-weighted Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 2.6 percent, or over 1,000 points.

Two major market trends reversed courses amid a broad global market sell-off: the outperformance of AI-linked stocks and the appreciation of U.S. dollars relative to Japanese yen. The Bank of Japan raised its key interest rate to about 0.25 percent from zero to about 0.1 percent, boosting the value of yen to a seven-month high. 

The VIX index, which tracks the market’s expectations for volatility over the next month, had its biggest intraday rise of all time, up 66.18 percent today. The “fear gauge” hit levels only exceeded by the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic.

The S&P sector ETFs were slammed across the board, while tech was the worst-performing with a 3.77 percent retreat. Chip stocks continue to suffer from the downturn as investors questioned the health of the U.S. economy and the sustainability of A.I.-driven gains. The iShares Semiconductor ETF was down 1.76 percent today, while Nvidiawas down 6.36 percent, making it the second-worst performing S&P 500 constituent.

Shares of Apple fell 4.82 percent today after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it sold almost half of its Apple shares over the weekend. 

The only good news is Kellanova, whose shares climbed 16.23 percent today. The jump came after reports surfaced over the weekend that Mars, the owner of M&M’s and Snickers, was in late stage talks to buy the maker of Cheez-It and Pringles.

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Active ETF offers exposure to Elon Musk’s SpaceX

Active ETF Baron First Principles ETF has added a large stake in Elon Musk’s privately held SpaceX, with daily disclosures of the active ETFs holdings on Friday showing SpaceX now makes up 22% of the fund’s portfolio.

Such a stake would open up a potentially big opportunity for those looking to get access to some of the eccentric billionaire’s privately held business empire, ahead of any public offering of the shares — which is reportedly in the works for this year.

Run by mutual fund manager Ron Baron, the ETF also owns stakes in other Musk vehicles such as privately held xAI and publicly traded Tesla. The fund — which has only been trading since December 15 — is down slightly on the day.

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AMD jumps as Intel’s supply constraints offer chance for CPU market share gains

As investors react negatively to Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s warning that the chipmaker’s turnaround effort will be a “multiyear journey,” that cautionary note is also a reminder that Advanced Micro Devices has more time to make hay while the sun shines.

AMD had been one of the companies with the most to lose should attempts by the government and Nvidia to prop up the beleaguered chipmaker bear fruit. In particular, Intel and AMD are locked in a fierce competition in the CPU market. During its earnings call on Thursday, Intel said that supply constraints were preventing the company from realizing strong demand.

JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur thinks that gives AMD more room to continue to muscle in on Intel’s CPU turf.

“We still view Intel as being at risk of further share loss in its product businesses (particularly in server CPU given AMD’s strong product portfolio/roadmap and Intel’s supply constraints),” he wrote.

AMD is up nearly 3% as of 11:40 a.m. ET, working on its ninth straight day of gains. A positive close would match its longest winning streak since 2005.

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Spotify climbs following an upgrade from Goldman as it prepares to hike prices

Music streamer Spotify climbed about 3% on Friday following an upgrade to “buy” from “neutral” from Goldman Sachs.

The upgrade comes ahead of Spotify’s already announced US subscription price hike next month — its third since 2023. Goldman lowered its 12-month Spotify price target to $700 from $735.

“We are surprised how negative investor sentiment has turned with respect to [Spotify] on the back of the AI theme. In our opinion, we see SPOT as well-positioned to capitalize on/benefit from rising generative AI adoption,” Goldman said in its Friday note, adding that it’s watching how the rise of AI music platforms could impact Spotify and its music royalty payment structure.

Earlier this month, Morgan Stanley published a survey that found up to 60% of Gen Z respondents listen to AI music, for an average of three hours per week. Last week, Bandcamp announced it would ban AI music on its platform.

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