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Yiwen Lu

U.S. stocks down heavily as volatility has its biggest-ever intraday spike

U.S. stocks plunged on Monday. The S&P 500 was down as much as 4.25 percent in early trading, its biggest one-day drop since September 2022, but that proved to be the low point as the benchmark US stock gauge ended down 3 percent. The Nasdaq composite was down 3.43 percent, while the price-weighted Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 2.6 percent, or over 1,000 points.

Two major market trends reversed courses amid a broad global market sell-off: the outperformance of AI-linked stocks and the appreciation of U.S. dollars relative to Japanese yen. The Bank of Japan raised its key interest rate to about 0.25 percent from zero to about 0.1 percent, boosting the value of yen to a seven-month high. 

The VIX index, which tracks the market’s expectations for volatility over the next month, had its biggest intraday rise of all time, up 66.18 percent today. The “fear gauge” hit levels only exceeded by the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic.

The S&P sector ETFs were slammed across the board, while tech was the worst-performing with a 3.77 percent retreat. Chip stocks continue to suffer from the downturn as investors questioned the health of the U.S. economy and the sustainability of A.I.-driven gains. The iShares Semiconductor ETF was down 1.76 percent today, while Nvidiawas down 6.36 percent, making it the second-worst performing S&P 500 constituent.

Shares of Apple fell 4.82 percent today after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it sold almost half of its Apple shares over the weekend. 

The only good news is Kellanova, whose shares climbed 16.23 percent today. The jump came after reports surfaced over the weekend that Mars, the owner of M&M’s and Snickers, was in late stage talks to buy the maker of Cheez-It and Pringles.

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Retail traders are “skipping the dip” this time

Here’s one noteworthy feature of the recent market downturn that has the S&P 500 poised for its worst week since reciprocal tariffs were announced in early April: retail traders seemingly aren’t eager to buy the weakness in single stocks the way they used to be.

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain has flagged that retail traders instead appear to be “skipping the dip.”

“In contrast to the behavior observed during the post-Liberation Day selloff, retail investors did not seize the opportunity to buy-the-dip on Tuesday, with a few exceptions such as META,” he wrote of the day where the benchmark US stock index fell 1.2%. “In fact, they scaled back their ETF purchases and turned net sellers in single stocks.”

Then on Thursday, when the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, Jain projected that retail traders sold $261 million in single stocks. Through noon ET on Friday, his daily outflow estimate stands at $851 million.

With that intel, it’s little wonder why the carnage this week has been particularly intense in more speculative single stocks that had been favored by the retail community, including IREN, IonQ, Rigetti, Cipher Mining, Bloom Energy, and Oklo.

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Archer Aviation plunges on $650 million share sale following its third-quarter results

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation is deep in the red on Friday morning after reporting its third-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The stock is down more than 12%.

Investors don’t appear to be thrilled about the company’s $650 million direct stock offering, announced alongside its results.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

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