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The S&P 500 finishes marginally lower while oil climbs amid war uncertainty

Stocks pared steeper losses as a somewhat hawkish shift within the central bank sent stocks to their lows of the day.

Tasha Matsumoto

The S&P 500 finished marginally lower, bouncing back from steeper losses as traders digested the somewhat hawkish shift within the central bank. The Federal Reserve kept its policy unchanged in a range of 3.5% to 3.75% in its April decision, as was universally expected by economists. Ahead of this decision, event contracts pointed to a high likelihood that precisely one member would dissent at this meeting. That was wildly off the mark, with a whopping four members dissenting. Three of those did not want an easing bias; Governor Stephen Miran preferred a rate cut at this meeting. This marks the highest number of dissents since October 1992.

The Nasdaq 100 gained, while the Russell 2000 fell. Energy was the best-performing sector as oil prices rose on last night’s news that President Trump told aides to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran. Utilities was the worst performer.

Bitcoin moved past the $77,000 level this morning before pulling back.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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