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Tech-fueled rally drives stocks to new records ahead of Fed rate decision and big earnings

The AI trade is back on as traders await tomorrow’s rate cut decision and megacap tech earnings on Wednesday and Thursday.

Tasha Matsumoto

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 notched all-time highs, while the Russell 2000 fell 0.6%. The rally was driven by tech, which was by far the best-performing sector ETF, while the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index fell.

The AI trade was back on, led by Nvidia, which jumped after CEO Jensen Huang said the company has more than $500 billion in Blackwell and early Rubin orders through 2026. Huang also announced new partnerships with CrowdStrike, Palantir, and Lucid at the chip designer’s GPU Technology Conference in Washington, DC, driving gains in those stocks. Uber and Eli Lilly also announced new partnerships, but each lost any gains spurred by the news by market close.

Investors are awaiting earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta tomorrow and earnings from Amazon and Apple on Thursday. These five companies collectively account for roughly a quarter of the S&P 500’s market cap.

The Federal Reserve began its two-day meeting today, with traders anticipating that the central bank will announce an interest rate cut tomorrow.

Stocks that moved higher:

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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