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Lululemon trading higher after posting better-than-expected Q3 results, with CEO set to exit in January

Lululemon was up more than 9% in premarket trading after the athleisure brand yesterday posted better-than-expected Q3 results, lifted its full-year outlook, and announced the departure of its CEO following over a year of slowing sales growth.

In the third quarter, net revenue increased 7% year over year to $2.57 billion, topping the $2.48 billion estimate compiled by LSEG, while earnings per share of $2.59 also beat expectations of $2.25. The results were driven largely by international markets, where comparable sales rose 18%, offsetting a 5% decline in the Americas.

The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $10.96 billion to $11.05 billion, roughly in line with expectations at the lower end, per LSEG as reported by CNBC. Management reiterated that tariffs — including the end of the US de minimis exemption — are expected to cut 2025 operating income by $210 million, down from the previous $240 million hit the company had projected in September, thanks to vendor negotiations and other cost-saving efforts.

Still, the companys Q4 revenue and earnings guidance fell short of Wall Street estimates.

In a separate release, the Vancouver-based company announced CEO Calvin McDonald will step down at the end of January after seven years at the helm. Chief Financial Officer Meghan Frank and Chief Commercial Officer André Maestrini will serve as interim co-CEOs while the board searches for a permanent successor.

McDonalds exit follows prolonged weakness in the brands core US business amid rising competition from brands like Alo Yoga and Vuori — as well as public criticism from founder Chip Wilson, who has argued the brand has lost its creative edge under the current leadership.

One visible difference versus newer rivals is marketing intensity, where Lululemon spends just 5% of its revenue. In yesterdays earnings call, executives said Lululemon plans to step up marketing spend in the fourth quarter and into next year to drive traffic and build brand awareness.

Despite this mornings rally, shares remain down more than 45% year to date.

Still, the companys Q4 revenue and earnings guidance fell short of Wall Street estimates.

In a separate release, the Vancouver-based company announced CEO Calvin McDonald will step down at the end of January after seven years at the helm. Chief Financial Officer Meghan Frank and Chief Commercial Officer André Maestrini will serve as interim co-CEOs while the board searches for a permanent successor.

McDonalds exit follows prolonged weakness in the brands core US business amid rising competition from brands like Alo Yoga and Vuori — as well as public criticism from founder Chip Wilson, who has argued the brand has lost its creative edge under the current leadership.

One visible difference versus newer rivals is marketing intensity, where Lululemon spends just 5% of its revenue. In yesterdays earnings call, executives said Lululemon plans to step up marketing spend in the fourth quarter and into next year to drive traffic and build brand awareness.

Despite this mornings rally, shares remain down more than 45% year to date.

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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Why software shares are withstanding the war jitters

The outbreak of the war in Iran has clearly rattled investors and created a few clear winners — mostly energy stocks — and losers — consumer staples, airlines, and, well, more or else everything else.

But there is one interesting outlier to that Manichaean market dynamic.

Software shares — often the same companies that the market was giving up for dead just a few weeks ago due to overexpectations of an AI-driven disruption — have been holding up remarkably well.

These companies, including Intuit, ServiceNow, Datadog, Snowflake, IBM, Workday, and Oracle, have actually had a pretty decent run since the war started with a combined US-Israeli attack on Iran last weekend.

A new note from RBC Capital’s Rishi Jaluria suggests this isn’t just a fluke. Looking at the performance of software stocks during periods of geopolitical stress and market volatility over the last 10 and 25 years, his team found that software shares appear fairly well insulated when these broader shocks hit. RBC wrote:

“The defensive nature of SaaS models and the mission-critical nature of many core software systems at the enterprise level (e.g., in the absence of mass layoffs that may create seat-based headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and/or market volatility typically will not cause an enterprise CIO to consider ripping out their ERP, CRM, Cyber systems, etc.”

I briefly got Jaluria on the phone yesterday, and he explained a bit more about why he thinks investors might see software as a decent place to hide out from the current chaos.

“With everything in the Middle East, you have to think about not just oil and gas input prices but also supply chains,” he said. “With software, you’re not really thinking about that.”

In other words, there is no equivalent of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz that software investors have to worry about.

Others suggested that the near-term profitability of these giant software companies — aside from concerns about potential long-term disruption from AI — may look different in the face of the economic uncertainty that seems to be growing with the war, especially after a sell-off that has left them relatively attractively valued.

Mark Moerdler, who covers software stocks for Bernstein Research, says that while the AI worries are clearly real, software companies continue to be highly productive cash cows.

“Everyone is afraid that AI is a massive disruptor, and all these articles you read talk about AI as massive disruptor or the world is ending or whatever,” he said. “You don’t see it in the fundamental numbers of the companies I cover. They are delivering GAAP profits, free cash flow, and they’re good investment ideas.”

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