Jack Daniel’s maker Brown-Forman fell by more than 15% in early trading after it severely missed Wall Street earnings estimates.
The Kentucky-based liquor maker reported earnings per share of $0.31, compared to the $0.34 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting. It also reported $894 million in revenue, compared to the $965.8 million analysts were penciling in.
More bad news: it said it expects organic sales and net income to decline for the full year. Analysts had expected an increase in sales and flat profits.
In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.
George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.
He wrote:
“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:
-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite. -Keep repressing renewable sources of energy. -Appease American electricity consumers.”
As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.
While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.
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