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Claire Yubin Oh

IonQ rises after company releases two technical papers that demonstrate 99.99% two-qubit gate performance

IonQ is up in early trading on Tuesday after the quantum computing company shared two technical papers that demonstrate 99.99% two-qubit gate performance.

According to IonQ’s press release, this marks a new “quantum computing world record” for a two-qubit system, topping the previous world record of 99.97% set last year by Oxford Ionics, which IonQ acquired earlier this year. Though 99.99% and 99.97% sound very similar, the former represents an error rate of 1 in 10,000 operations; the latter represents an error rate of 3 in 10,000 operations.

The company says it is the first and only quantum computing company to cross the “four-nines” benchmark, per the release, putting IonQ on track to scale up toward millions of qubits by 2030.

The “two-qubit gate fidelity,” or the error rate of quantum computers’ two-qubit operations, is an important yardstick to measure the performance of a quantum computer. When accuracy improves, the technology’s window for commercial operations widens — a welcome development in the nascent industry, which has been fueled by increased US government interest and speculative trading as much as it has been by technical breakthroughs this year.

In July, peer Rigetti Computing announced that its two-qubit fidelity was 99.5%, catalyzing its largest one-day gain since January. The two companies both operate gate-based models, but with different approaches: Rigetti uses superconducting circuits, while IonQ, as its name implies, uses trapped ions.

In CEO Niccolo de Masi’s words:

“This level of quantum performance has been the industry’s north star for decades and crossing it brings fault-tolerant quantum systems years closer to mass market adoption. For our global customers, it means unlocking more value from quantum computing sooner, while dramatically lowering the cost and complexity of large-scale systems.”

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Luke Kawa

Retail traders are pressing bets on potential short squeeze targets, sending 1-800-Flowers and Krispy Kreme soaring

Spurred by the parabolic surge in shares of Beyond Meat in recent sessions, traders are aggressively looking for potential short-squeeze targets with a number of buyer’s binges in the works.

1-800-Flowers.com spiked double digits late in Tuesday’s session, with the gains coming on heavy volumes the heels of a since-deleted tweet from a prominent social media account calling attention to a company with high short interest, high insider ownership, and low near-term debt — without even mentioning its name or ticker! Shares are continuing to build on that advance in the premarket on Wednesday, up 20% as of 7:37 a.m. ET. The company is the most heavily shorted member of the Russell 3000, per exchange data, with about three-quarters of its float sold short.

Krispy Kreme, which enjoyed a run as a meme stock in late July, is also up about 20% in premarket trading, is also among the 25 most heavily shorted companies in the Russell 3000. The stock soared on Tuesday as call volumes spiked, and hasn’t had any major fundamental news to speak of — unless you count the announcement of its seasonal “Frankendough Dozen” deal (I don’t).

GE Vernova Q3 earnings results

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Matt Phillips59m
markets
Claire Yubin Oh & Luke Kawa

AST SpaceMobile drops after announcing new share issuance and plans to raise more debt

AST SpaceMobile is down in premarket trading on Wednesday after the space-based cellular broadband network company announced that it’s refinancing by issuing more shares and raising more debt.

Most notably for shareholders is that these plans include dilution to the tune of 2 million shares at $78.61 per share, with the proceeds being used to buy out $50 million out of $100 million in senior convertible notes due in 2032, which have a coupon of 4.25%, from their holders.

Separately, the company also announced an offering of convertible senior notes that was quickly upsized to $1 billion, which will have a coupon of 2% and are due in 2036. These notes have an initial conversion price of about $96.30 per share, more than 20% above where shares closed on Tuesday. There’s the potential for an additional $150 million of these notes to be issued.

If the full initial $1 billion of notes were converted to shares, this would notionally add around 10.4 million shares to the company’s shares outstanding (274.6 million as of the latest count, per Bloomberg).

AST SpaceMobile said it would be able to settle conversions of the notes through cash or stock, or a combination thereof, and plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes and “funding the deployment of AST SpaceMobile’s worldwide constellation of satellites.”

So, in sum: more shares, more overall debt, the potential for additional shareholder dilution going forward in light of this addition of convertible notes, and less debt in 2032 that had a higher coupon than these new notes.

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Tom Jones

Texas Instruments slumps on disappointing Q4 revenue and profit outlook

Texas Instruments is down a little over 8% in premarket trading, as investors react to the weaker-than-expected fourth quarter guidance the company gave in its Q3 earnings yesterday.

The world’s biggest analog chipmaker said that Q4 revenue would come in between $4.22 billion and $4.58 billion, where analysts had expected $4.5 billion on average, per Bloomberg. TI’s profit forecast for the period also disappointed, after the company said that earnings would be in the region of $1.13 to $1.39 per share, compared to reported Wall Street estimates of $1.41.

While its actual third quarter numbers were broadly solid all told, with adjusted EPS at $1.59 meeting expectations, the Q4 outlook is a clear signal to some that recovery will likely be a little more sluggish than they expected. As the company’s CEO, Haviv Ilan, put it on an analyst call:

The overall semiconductor market recovery is continuing, though at a slower pace than prior upturns, likely related to the broader macroeconomic dynamics and overall uncertainty.

Texas Instruments counts more customers than anyone else in the semiconductor business and has a broader range of products, too, making it something of a bellwether for the industry more broadly, with its softer outlook weighing modestly on stocks such as Analog Devices, AMD, and Intel.

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Matt Phillips

DraftKings moves to counter prediction market threat

DraftKings is holding onto its gains from after the bell yesterday, trading 6% higher in the pre-market, following news that it is buying Railbird in an effort to address the competitive threat from prediction markets that has weighed on its share price — and that of FanDuel parent Flutter Entertainment — for weeks.

The deal is then latest example of the increasing linkages and overlap between worlds of financial markets, gambling, and prediction markets.

Earlier this month, ICE — the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange and the ICE futures markets, among others — announced it would invest up to $2 billion in prediction markets company Polymarket.

And Robinhood shares have recently gotten a lift from its ongoing partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, which has seen growing uptake of its events contracts that allow buyers to take positions on football games.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

By and large investor excitement over prediction markets — which has picked up since the start of football season — has seemed to come at the expense of Flutter and DraftKings, the two companies that dominate US sports betting.

Over the last three months through the end of regular trading on Wednesday, DraftKings and Flutter were down 23% and 18%, respectively, while the S&P 500 is up about 7%.

DraftKings acquires predictions platform Railbird

DraftKings acquires predictions platform Railbird

The deal is then latest example of the increasing linkages and overlap between worlds of financial markets, gambling, and prediction markets.

Earlier this month, ICE — the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange and the ICE futures markets, among others — announced it would invest up to $2 billion in prediction markets company Polymarket.

And Robinhood shares have recently gotten a lift from its ongoing partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, which has seen growing uptake of its events contracts that allow buyers to take positions on football games.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

By and large investor excitement over prediction markets — which has picked up since the start of football season — has seemed to come at the expense of Flutter and DraftKings, the two companies that dominate US sports betting.

Over the last three months through the end of regular trading on Wednesday, DraftKings and Flutter were down 23% and 18%, respectively, while the S&P 500 is up about 7%.

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