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Intel missed the chip boom, now investors, and rivals, are circling

Multiple parties are exploring investing in, or buying all of, Intel, Inc.

It’s been a good few years to be in the chip-making business — but Intel missed the memo.

Once the most valuable US semiconductor company, Intel has missed most of the AI wave that has propelled the share prices of its competitors. And now private equity firms and competitors are circling. Late Friday, The Wall Street Journal reported that fellow chipmaker Qualcomm has approached Intel about a potential acquisition, while Apollo is reportedly considering a $5 billion investment as the company embarks on an ambitious turnaround plan.

Intel’s stock has shed more than 56% of its value since 2021, while the broader semiconductor sector has experienced explosive growth. In response, the company announced a series of drastic measures last month, including cutting 15,000 jobs, slashing capital expenditures, and eliminating its annual dividend.

Wires crossed

Per The Economist, while many competitors adopted a "fabless" model, outsourcing chip production to foundries like TSMC, Intel doubled down on both designing and manufacturing its own chips. This eventually left the company trailing behind in the race to produce the fastest chips with the smallest transistors — an ironic fate for the birthplace of Moore’s Law.

The AI revolution further laid bare Intel’s lack of innovation. As demand shifted towards graphics processing units (GPUs), Intel’s focus on central processors (CPUs) was unhelpful. Nvidia famously “bet the farm” on the AI trend, and has since surged to a multi-trillion-dollar valuation. Meanwhile, Intel reported a $1.6 billion operating loss last month, resulting in the worst single-day drop in its stock price.

Despite securing funding through the CHIPS Act and announcing a partnership with Amazon to produce chips for AWS last week, Intel shares continue to hover around a decade low. Clearly, investors within both Apollo & Qualcomm see some potential for a turnaround.

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Old electronic items tossed on ground for disposal, Hudson

Technology giants don’t look like they used to, as the asset-light era fades

Oracle and Meta are now some of the most capital-intensive businesses in the S&P 500, spending more than energy giants. I guess data really is the new oil?

markets

Space stocks rip amid speculation on Altman joining race

Space stocks AST SpaceMobile, Planet Labs, and Rocket Lab all soared Thursday amid a recovery in the high-beta momentum class of shares coveted by some retail traders.

(High-beta momo stocks are basically shares that have been on a winning streak for a while, and tend to go up a lot more than the overall market on positive days. Goldman Sachs includes all three of the aforementioned space stocks in its themed basket of such shares.)

There’s little other fundamental news out there on the companies themselves.

But a Wall Street Journal report that OpenAI impresario Sam Altman has been toying with the idea of entering the space industry, potentially standing up a rival to Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite service, may also be contributing.

As we’ve mentioned elsewhere, sometimes these stocks seem to trade on a what’s-bad-for-the-Musk-empire-is-good-for-us-and-vice-versa vibe.

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Intel sinks on news it will hang on to networking unit

Intel dropped in early trading Thursday after it disclosed plans to retain ownership of its networking unit following a strategic review of operations.

The unit, known as NEX, makes products like infrastructure processors, which do needed “housekeeping” tasks like running security checks, thereby freeing core Intel CPUs to do the higher-value operations. It also produces switches and controllers that manage and direct the flow of data to CPUs.

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Quantum computing stocks soar on return of bullish options bets

The calendar says December, but the price action is starting to look a lot more like September to me:

Quantum computing companies IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum are all up at least 7% as of 11:04 a.m. ET, buoyed by a wave of bullish options activity.

  • Nearly 50,000 calls in IonQ have already changed hands, well above the 20-day average for a full session, with activity concentrated in strikes from $50 to $55 in contracts that expire between Friday and mid-January. Its put/call ratio is near 0.2, versus an average of over 1 for the past 20 sessions.

  • More than 65,000 calls have traded in Rigetti, a hair shy of its full 20-day average. Like IonQ, options activity has a bullish tilt, with a put/call ratio of about 0.7 versus a 20-day average of roughly 1.2.

  • D-Wave, which received positive commentary from Evercore ISI on Wednesday, isn’t seeing call activity as elevated as its peers, but the options action is also very skewed toward the bull side, with a put/call ratio of less than 0.3 versus a 20-session average of 0.7.

Pure-play quantum computing stocks nearly doubled from late August to late September amid heavy options market activity thanks to reports on government support for the sector, M&A activity, tech breakthroughs, and a flurry of price target hikes by Wall Street.

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