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Intel analyst: “Storyline seems concerning”

Some analysts were less than impressed with new CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s first quarterly conference call at Intel.

Matt Phillips

Intel’s post-earnings sell-off continued on Friday, with several analysts who cover the company putting out skeptical to bearish takes on Q1 results and the weak outlook the chip giant offered Thursday after the close.

Barclays analysts, who cut their full-year sales and earnings-per-share estimates for the company but kept their “neutral” rating and $19 price target for the stock, seemed unnerved by the fact that customers were boosting purchases of Intel’s older, cheaper, less-than-cutting-edge chips, perhaps because they were jittery about the economy. They wrote:

“The company was more enthusiastic about n-1/n-2 PC and server product, where customers have supposedly re-engaged to save in turbulent tariff times. This entire storyline seems concerning to us. While improving [gross margins] near-term, this does not bode well for leading-edge product, nor AI PC, where the company revised targets lower.”

JPMorgan analysts cut their Intel target from $23 to $20 a share, axed full-year EPS estimates from $0.53 to a penny, and maintained their “underweight” rating. They seemed unimpressed with the first performance from former Cadence Design CEO Tan, who was tapped to take the top job at Intel last month.

“New CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, highlighted several new strategic initiatives including creating a flatter/leaner leadership structure in efforts to drive more costs out of the business and improve FCF generation. However, Lip Bu did not provide much insights/detail on how he will return Intel back to a leadership position in core compute and leading edge manufacturing — nor did he provide much insights into how he would attract more external foundry customers to Intel Foundry.”

The fate of Intel’s foundry business — where Intel makes chips on behalf of others, sort of the way TSMC does — was also a sticking point for analysts at Citibank, who cut their earnings estimates but maintained their “neutral rating on the stock and $21 target for shares.

It appears Intel is committed to becoming a merchant foundry. We continue to believe Intel shareholders would be better served by the company exiting the merchant foundry business given mounting losses.

Intel was recently down 7.8% in morning trading.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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