Markets
Oil Prices Jump 10% After Start Of War In Iran
A sign displays gas prices at a station on March 2, 2026, in Chicago, Illinois (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

US futures turn sharply negative, following European stocks lower, as Iran threatens the Strait of Hormuz

Oil and gas are again at the heart of the matter, as conflict in the Middle East continues.

David Crowther

After a volatile trading session yesterday — in which US stocks ended up very marginally in the green after a premarket session that looked decidedly negative — traders are once again selling risk assets, as the war in Iran continues into its fourth day and the conflict spreads further across the Middle East.

Energy continued to be the focal point for global investors, with crude oil (WTI) climbing to over $75 per barrel in early trading on Tuesday, now up more than 16% from the undisturbed price on February 27. European gas prices spiked even more sharply, with natural gas prices (front-month contracts) soaring north of €60 per megawatt-hour, up more than 90% since the US and Israel launched their attacks.

Natural gas price chart
Sherwood News

The fresh concern in oil markets came after an Iranian official said his country would “set fire to anyone who tries to pass through” the critical Strait of Hormuz, a critical juncture through which roughly 20% of the worlds global petroleum liquids pass in any given year. For natural gas, meanwhile, the latest catalyst is a production halt at the worlds largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility in Qatar, reportedly following an Iranian drone strike.

Elsewhere, the US embassy in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, has also been hit by a drone strike, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned last night that the “hardest hits are yet to come,” as joint US-Israel forces continue attacks on Tehran. S&P 500 futures are down 1.8% this morning as the conflict continues.

For single stocks, there are few real winners outside of the energy space, with higher-beta names looking very likely to open down a few points. Accordingly, tech stocks look likely to fare worse than the wider market, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 down 2.5% at the time of writing. The AI trade looks unlikely to be exempt, with darlings like Nvidia, Micron, and Alphabet all down more than 3% premarket. Even Palantir, which yesterday rallied nearly 6% on ties to Americas defense complex, is off some 4%.

For most, the impact is primarily a second-order effect of a broad sell-off in risk assets. However, at least one tech giant has been directly impacted: Amazon is down 2.8% as of 6:15 a.m. ET, after the company said yesterday that drone strikes damaged three of its data centers in the region, with two in the United Arab Emirates “directly struck.”

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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