Markets
Oil Prices Jump 10% After Start Of War In Iran
A sign displays gas prices at a station on March 2, 2026, in Chicago, Illinois (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

US futures turn sharply negative, following European stocks lower, as Iran threatens the Strait of Hormuz

Oil and gas are again at the heart of the matter, as conflict in the Middle East continues.

David Crowther

After a volatile trading session yesterday — in which US stocks ended up very marginally in the green after a premarket session that looked decidedly negative — traders are once again selling risk assets, as the war in Iran continues into its fourth day and the conflict spreads further across the Middle East.

Energy continued to be the focal point for global investors, with crude oil (WTI) climbing to over $75 per barrel in early trading on Tuesday, now up more than 16% from the undisturbed price on February 27. European gas prices spiked even more sharply, with natural gas prices (front-month contracts) soaring north of €60 per megawatt-hour, up more than 90% since the US and Israel launched their attacks.

Natural gas price chart
Sherwood News

The fresh concern in oil markets came after an Iranian official said his country would “set fire to anyone who tries to pass through” the critical Strait of Hormuz, a critical juncture through which roughly 20% of the worlds global petroleum liquids pass in any given year. For natural gas, meanwhile, the latest catalyst is a production halt at the worlds largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility in Qatar, reportedly following an Iranian drone strike.

Elsewhere, the US embassy in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, has also been hit by a drone strike, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned last night that the “hardest hits are yet to come,” as joint US-Israel forces continue attacks on Tehran. S&P 500 futures are down 1.8% this morning as the conflict continues.

For single stocks, there are few real winners outside of the energy space, with higher-beta names looking very likely to open down a few points. Accordingly, tech stocks look likely to fare worse than the wider market, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 down 2.5% at the time of writing. The AI trade looks unlikely to be exempt, with darlings like Nvidia, Micron, and Alphabet all down more than 3% premarket. Even Palantir, which yesterday rallied nearly 6% on ties to Americas defense complex, is off some 4%.

For most, the impact is primarily a second-order effect of a broad sell-off in risk assets. However, at least one tech giant has been directly impacted: Amazon is down 2.8% as of 6:15 a.m. ET, after the company said yesterday that drone strikes damaged three of its data centers in the region, with two in the United Arab Emirates “directly struck.”

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GE Aerospace falls after leaving earnings guidance unchanged

Jet engine maker GE Aerospace slid in early trading Tuesday, as its better-than-expected Q1 results were overshadowed by uninspiring guidance.

It reported:

  • Q1 adjusted revenue of $11.61 billion vs. the $10.71 billion consensus expectation.

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.86 vs. the $1.60 consensus estimate.

But management left full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance where it was at between $7.10 and $7.40, compared to a consensus expectation of $7.49 from analysts.

“Were holding our full-year guidance across the board, given the macro uncertainty, though, with our strong start to the year, we are trending toward the high end of that range,” CEO Larry Culp said on the conference call.

GE Aerospace hit an air pocket in March as the start of the US war against Iran sent energy prices soaring and hurt expectations for the profitability of commercial carriers. A rally in April had pushed the stock close to positive territory for the year, but it’s solidly in the red after the results today.

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Trump says he doesn’t like potential United-American merger but would “love somebody to buy Spirit”

President Trump on Tuesday told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea of a United Airlines-American Airlines merger, but would “love somebody to buy Spirit.”

“Maybe the federal government should help that one,” Trump said on Tuesday, referring to Spirit’s attempts to emerge from bankruptcy.

Trump’s thoughts on United-American are an update from last week, when White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the potential megamerger was “not something the president or the White House have an ​opinion on or are weighing in on.”

American and United shares dipped following Trump’s comments, as did Spirit rival Frontier Airlines.

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BYND rises on elevated volumes, has now doubled in the last 10 days after product revamps

Beyond Meat soared as much as 18% in overnight trading, extending a winning streak that has seen the stock nearly double since April 10, after gaining over 41% in yesterdays session alone.

Thats a significant turnaround for the meat alternative company, which just three weeks ago was tanking after issuing weak sales guidance... with the company’s management laying blame on American society for its business struggles.

Beyond repair?

BYND has had two distinct moments in the sun: one as a bona fide startup stud promising to transform the food industry forever in 2020 and 2021, and the other as a meme stock, when the company suddenly found itself at the center of a retail trading frenzy last October after a tumultuous few years.

Sparking this latest tick higher appears to be a new product release from last Thursday, when the company revealed that Beyond Immerse, the companys first functional beverage line, had signed a distribution agreement with Big Geyser — one of the countrys largest nonalcoholic distributors. That followed an update to its breakfast sausage range just three days earlier.

Its a big ask for a new sausage or protein-packed drinks with fruity flavors — both highly competitive categories — to fully save a company that’s seen sales sink, losses balloon, and its share price crater through the years. But the product news, combined with Beyond appeasing Nasdaq regulators by finally filing its delayed 2025 annual report, seems to have been enough to reinvigorate investor interest, shaking off some concerns about a delisting.

Perhaps most importantly, however, is that retail traders are once again fishing in the higher-risk, higher-reward end of the stock market pond. Risk-on assets have ripped higher in the last few weeks as geopolitical risks calmed, bringing indexes to an all-time high and seeing meme-like stocks soar on speculative excitement rather than business fundamentals. Just from last week, we’ve seen Allbirds and Myseum skyrocket on surprise AI pivot news. Retail favorites like quantum name IonQ have also caught a bid.

But, where Beyond’s concerned, this aint 2021 yet. And its still nowhere near last October, either:

Per Bloomberg data, there’s still plenty of interest in betting against the company — short interest as a percent of the equity float is at 35% — but it still pales compared to the 83% level from its October high.

In simple volume terms, BYND traded only some $224 million as of yesterday — a tiny fraction of October’s busiest day, when $11 billion changed hands.

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UnitedHealth beats Q1 estimates, raises annual outlook

UnitedHealth rose in premarket trading after it reported earnings results that beat Wall Street expectations and raised its full-year guidance.

For the full year 2026, the company now expects:

  • Annual adjusted earnings per share to be at least $18.25, up from the previous floor it set at $17.75 and higher than the $17.86 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

For the first quarter of 2026, the company reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $7.23, higher than the $6.58 the Street was penciling in.

  • A medical cost ratio of 83.9%, lower than the 85.5% that was expected. The company said the decrease in spending on medical care was driven by strong medical cost management and favorable reserve development, partially offset by consistently elevated utilization and unit cost trends.

The company, which is the first of its peers to report earnings this quarter, was up more than 6% in early action on Tuesday. The stock is down 3.8% from the start of the year through yesterdays close.

UnitedHealths rosy report also lifted some of its peers. Humana, CVS, Elevance Health, Centene, and Molina Healthcare were all up in premarket trading.

The sector has been under pressure in the past year as the cost of providing care, particularly for those on Medicare, has gone up. In the first quarter, UnitedHealth was able to grow its Medicare revenues by 1%, despite having about 1,000 fewer members, by raising the price of its premiums.

“Investors are likely showing signs of relief with this mornings pre-market on UNH,” said David Wagner, head of equity and portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors. The stock has had a volatile run over its last few earnings reports, largely dictated by surging medical costs in its Medicare Advantage business and regulatory shifts.”

Wagner continued, “While the stock has struggled for much of the past year, it is currently showing signs of a turnaround, or at least stability that investors are appreciating. The highlight of the report for me was the margins.”

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