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Corporate America has never been this profitable

The S&P 500’s profit margin just hit a record high.

AI is lifting almost everything in sight, from minting new millionaires at a historic pace to vaulting an entire country up the ranks of the worlds biggest stock markets. And with the US sitting at the center of that boom, Corporate America is squeezing more profit out of every dollar it brings in than ever before.

In the first quarter, S&P 500 companies kept nearly $0.15 of profit for every dollar of revenue, according to FactSet — the highest figure recorded since the data provider began tracking the metric in 2009, and more than double the long-run historical average of around $0.06 going back to 1946. 

Much of it comes down to the index’s new center of gravity: a handful of unusually profitable tech giants. The Magnificent 7 alone account for more than a third of the S&P 500’s market value, and they’re punching far above their weight on earnings, posting 63.2% earnings growth in Q1, nearly 4x the rate of the other 493 companies.

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Bloomberg data through June 4 shows the trend holding, with both operating and net profit margins at their highest in at least two decades — meaning companies are making more from their core businesses, as well as keeping more for shareholders after costs, interest, and taxes are paid.

Both measures have climbed sharply back from the depths of the 2008 financial crisis and the shock of Covid, with the latest leg ripping higher on strong AI demand, blockbuster megacap earnings, and years of sweeping layoffs and efficiency pushes that have become a staple of Big Tech earnings calls. 

Still, the profit boom comes with concentration risk. Goldman Sachs warned last week that AI infrastructure beneficiaries are expected to account for roughly half of all S&P 500 earnings growth this year — leaving more of the outlook riding on whether the massive AI build-out eventually translates into durable profits. 

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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