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A tablet of Foundayo. (Eli Lilly)
A tablet of Foundayo (Eli Lilly)

Eli Lilly quells fears that its GLP-1 pill debut is off to a rocky start

Early prescription data for Foundayo showed the pill was having a lackluster rollout compared to its competitor.

J. Edward Moreno

Going into its Thursday morning earnings report, Eli Lilly was facing fears that its new GLP-1 pill was not going to live up to expectations.

The company proceeded to crush Q1 estimates and raise its sales guidance for the year, suggesting it’s confident that its GLP-1 shots and newly available pill will continue to outperform. It now expects annual revenue to hit between $82 billion and $85 billion, giving a higher ceiling than its previous guidance of between $80 billion and $83 billion.

The cheery guidance sent the stock up nearly 10%. Those gains helped it claw back some of the losses from this year that came as investors asked whether the company was positioned to keep its seat at the perch of the GLP-1 market.

Lilly’s pill, Foundayo, was launched during the current quarter, so its sales numbers are not reflected in Lilly’s Q1 report. Though it did not provide early sales figures, the company said Foundayo is off to a “strong start” and gave a couple of key details:

  • So far, more than 80% of prescriptions have been to patients new to the category, which may quell fears that Foundayo could cannibalize sales from its other products. The same is true for Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy pill, suggesting oral options are in fact expanding the GLP-1 market.

  • About 45% of the volume for Foundayo so far is coming through Lilly Direct, the company’s direct-to-consumer cash-pay pharmacy, the company told analysts. Lilly has also secured access through two of the three major pharmacy benefit managers, it said.

Those are positive signs after early prescription data for Foundayo showed the pill was having a lackluster rollout, with significantly fewer prescriptions in its first few weeks than Novo’s Wegovy pill, which came to market in January.

Lilly CEO Dave Ricks told CNBC there are now more than 20,000 people taking Foundayo. The drugmaker said it won’t begin advertising the drug until the second half of 2026.

Ricks also said it’s unfair to compare the rollout of Foundayo to the Wegovy pill. Lilly’s pill uses a completely new molecule, orforglipron, while Novo’s pill is an oral version of the same molecule in its GLP-1 shots, Ozempic and Wegovy.

“We have to build a brand and establish a new medicine,” Ricks said. “Doctors aren’t going to write for a medicine they’ve never heard of, so we have to go out and educate them. It’s going to take some time.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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