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DOGE risk to consulting sinks IBM

IBM is down by the most in almost exactly a year, despite reporting Q1 numbers Wednesday afternoon that beat analyst forecasts.

In fact, the stock saw a reflexive jump in the immediate aftermath of the report, but the optimism fizzled almost immediately after company executives tiptoed their way through Big Blue’s conference call.

Analysts seemed especially interested in somewhat sluggish results from IBM’s consulting business, where sales slipped 2% (essentially flat on a constant currency basis), and whether that may have reflected the effects of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s DOGE effort to rip up root and branch the way the federal government operates.

While stressing that sales to the federal government account for less than 5% of total revenues and 10% of its consulting revenues, company executives acknowledged some risk to their business selling technology services to Uncle Sam.

CEO Arvind Krishna said:

“To Consulting and DOGE, yes, we are not immune from all those activities, just like everybody else. We had a couple of contracts that were impacted in the first quarter. You would expect USAID, where we did some work was impacted, but not really in most other cases. The work we tend to do is much more mission-critical, is much more about building the government systems which make them more efficient and so, we see them carry on. Now, its hard to predict where that goes over the rest of the year. So Im not going to try and make that prediction on DOGE and Consulting, except to caution, as Jim said in his prepared remarks, if there is pressure in the economy, Consulting tends to see headwinds before other parts of the business.”

Analysts seemed especially interested in somewhat sluggish results from IBM’s consulting business, where sales slipped 2% (essentially flat on a constant currency basis), and whether that may have reflected the effects of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s DOGE effort to rip up root and branch the way the federal government operates.

While stressing that sales to the federal government account for less than 5% of total revenues and 10% of its consulting revenues, company executives acknowledged some risk to their business selling technology services to Uncle Sam.

CEO Arvind Krishna said:

“To Consulting and DOGE, yes, we are not immune from all those activities, just like everybody else. We had a couple of contracts that were impacted in the first quarter. You would expect USAID, where we did some work was impacted, but not really in most other cases. The work we tend to do is much more mission-critical, is much more about building the government systems which make them more efficient and so, we see them carry on. Now, its hard to predict where that goes over the rest of the year. So Im not going to try and make that prediction on DOGE and Consulting, except to caution, as Jim said in his prepared remarks, if there is pressure in the economy, Consulting tends to see headwinds before other parts of the business.”

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Warner Bros. Discovery jumps after Wells Fargo ups price target on dealmaking buzz

Warner Bros. Discovery shares popped 7% Tuesday after Wells Fargo raised its price target on the media giant to $14 from $13 while keeping an equal-weight rating.

The bank’s optimism stemmed largely from the media giant’s potential for dealmaking. In June, WBD announced that it would split its operations into two companies, with the Streaming & Studios division (home to Warner Bros. Television, DC Studios, HBO, and Max) standing alone from the networks side (CNN, TNT Sports, and Discovery).

That separation could make the Streaming & Studios unit more attractive to buyers, the analysts said. They valued the segment at about $65 billion, which could translate to a takeover price north of $21 a share. Potential suitors range from Amazon and Apple to Sony and Comcast, though analysts flagged Netflix as the “most compelling” option despite its limited acquisition track record:

“While NFLX has historically not been acquisitive, [streaming and studios’] $12bn in annual content spend + library + 100+ acre studio lot offers a lot. It kickstarts a theatrical IP strategy, quickly scales video games and most importantly provides premium content to members.”

At Goldman Sachs’ Communacopia + Technology Conference this week, CEO David Zaslav also highlighted growing traction at HBO Max and hinted at future crackdowns on password sharing.

WBD shares are up 26% year to date, and up more than 93% over the past 12 months.

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Duolingo up on bullish note, hopes for a user rebound

Duolingo rose by the most in nearly a month after an analyst note painted a more bullish picture of the gamified language-learning company despite a dearth of news otherwise.

A quick check-in with analysts covering the stock on Wall Street found most of them otherwise flummoxed on the reason behind the uptick Thursday.

Some, however, suggested the rise may reflect optimism that the company has been able to reverse a monthslong downturn in daily active user metrics — a slump that set in after a social media backlash to a somewhat artless LinkedIn post from the company about its AI first strategy.

The bullish analyst note, published Thursday by Citizens JMP, suggested Duolingo could be a big beneficiary from a change to Apple’s rules governing its App Store driven by a ruling on a federal antitrust case against the company. The analysts wrote:

Given “Apple’s recent changes to U.S. App Store rules that allow developers to steer payments to the web where fees are similar to typical credit card fees rather than Apple’s 30% fee for in-app purchases and 30% fee on subscriptions for the first year and 15% thereafter, we expect mobile app companies including Duolingo, Life360, and Grindr Inc. to unlock meaningful cost benefits.”

At any rate, the next big event on the company’s calendar is its Duocon 2025 conference on Tuesday, where analysts are hoping to hear more hard information on all of the above topics.

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Jeep maker Stellantis surges as CEO says the automaker is in productive tariff talks with the US

Shares of Jeep and Dodge maker Stellantis are up more than 8% in Thursday afternoon trading, following comments from the automaker’s new CEO, Antonio Filosa, at a European auto conference.

On tariffs, Filosa said that Stellantis has had a “very productive exchange of ideas” with the Trump administration on the company’s manufacturing footprint and that the environment around the levies is “getting clearer and clearer.”

The US is Stellantis’ top priority, according to Filosa, and the company has taken efforts to turn things around in the market, where its struggled with sales in recent years. To fuel the turnaround, Stellantis is bringing back its popular Jeep Cherokee, which it discontinued in 2023.

As of 12:45 p.m. ET, Stellantis’ trading volume was at more than 140% of its average over the past 30 days.

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