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Disney dips on weaker-than-expected Q4 revenue amid its longest-ever TV blackout

...and you’re watching Disney Channel.

The happiest place on Earth is feeling pretty meh today. Disney’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report came out on Thursday, and investors — a variation of Disney adult, you could say — didn’t exactly cheer the results, with shares sliding 3.4% as of 7:24 a.m. ET.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.11, below last year, but higher than Wall Street estimates of $1.05 per share.

Looking ahead, Disney said it expects streaming profit of $375 million for its quarter ending in December. For the full fiscal year, it expects adjusted profit per share to grow by double digits. Disney said it would double its share buyback target to $7 billion for its 2026 fiscal year.

The entertainment giant also posted:

  • $22.46 billion in total revenue in its fourth quarter, short of analyst estimates of $22.76 billion (compiled by FactSet) and roughly flat relative to the same period last year.

  • $3.48 billion in Q4 operating income across its three operating segments (Entertainment, Experiences, and Sports), just shy of Wall Street expectations of $3.51 billion.

  • $352 million in Q4 streaming profit, up 39% from the same quarter last year. For its full fiscal year, ended September, Disney reported streaming profit of $1.33 billion, more than 9x the year prior.

  • $10 billion in full-year operating profit for its Experiences unit, which includes parks. Disney’s domestic parks profit grew 9% to $920 million on the quarter.

Across its direct-to-consumer and streaming offerings, the studio reported 218.3 million global subscribers as of the end of September, in line with expectations but down about 8% from last year. That number was likely impacted by the company’s decision toward the end of the quarter to pull Jimmy Kimmel’s late-night talk show off the air for a week. A report from Antenna Research found that roughly 7.1 million subscribers canceled their Disney+ and Hulu subscriptions during that month, far above the three-month average cancellation rate of those services.

Last month, Disney boosted the monthly cost of its flagship streaming service by $3 for the ad-free tier — its fourth price hike in four years. The service now costs 172% more than it did six years ago.

On the linear television side, Disney is embroiled in its longest carriage dispute ever, with YouTube TV. The blackout has been ongoing since October 30, surpassing Disney’s standoff with DirecTV last year for its longest stalemate. Two consecutive weeks of ESPN’s Monday Night Football haven’t been available on the pay-TV provider, which is expected to pass Comcast as the largest US pay-TV service next year.

According to Morgan Stanley, Disney is losing about $4.3 million per day during the dispute, which entered its 14th day on Thursday. The New York Times reported that Disney CEO Bob Iger and Google CEO Sundar Pichai have become more involved in the talks amid pressure from FCC Chair Brendan Carr.

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Report: US senators plan to introduce bill blocking Nvidia from selling advanced chips to China for 30 months

US senators are on the verge of introducing a bill that would block Nvidia from selling its H200 or Blackwell chips to China for 30 months, the Financial Times reports. The H200 is Nvidia’s best chip from the Hopper generation, while the Blackwell line is its current flagship offering.

Shares of the chip designer are little changed in the wake of this report, still up more than 1% on the session. The reaction makes sense, seeing as previous positive indications on Nvidia’s ability to sell advanced chips to China failed to inspire much positive momentum in its shares.

The stock got a short-lived jolt higher (that didn’t last the day!) on November 21 after Bloomberg reported that the Trump administration had discussed the possibility of selling its H200 chips to China.

Nvidia has effectively been shut out of China’s AI market in 2025. First, export restrictions meant it could no longer sell the H20, a nerfed version of its Hopper chip, to the world’s second-largest economy. After that export ban was lifted, demand from China “never materialized,” per Nvidia CFO Colette Kress. Reports indicate that China banned its leading technology giants from purchasing these semiconductors, instead pushing them toward domestic alternatives.

President Donald Trump had mused about allowing Nvidia to sell Blackwell chips to China prior to his meeting with Chinese President Xi in late October, but failed to do so. The two leaders did not discuss the topic at that time.

Per the FT, this upcoming bill would be a bipartisan effort, being cosponsored by the leading Republican and Democrat members of the Senate Foreign Relations East Asia subcommittee.

markets

AI energy plays soar on an explosion of call buying

Like their quantum computing counterparts, AI-linked energy plays are benefiting from an explosion of bullish options activity on Thursday.

  • Oklo is up double digits with call volumes above 106,000 as of 2:46 p.m. ET, more than double its 20-day average for a full session, with a put/call ratio of about 0.6. Call options with a strike price of $110 that expire this Friday (which are now in-the-money thanks to today’s surge) are seeing the most activity.

  • Nuscale, another nuclear energy play, has seen nearly 140,000 call options change hands versus a 20-day average of 51,073.

  • And fuel cell company Bloom Energy has traded nearly 80,000 calls, roughly twice its 20-day average, with a put/call ratio of about 0.3.

During his appearance on Joe Rogan’s podcast released on Wednesday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang talked up the potential for nuclear energy, saying, “In the next six to seven years I think you are going to see a whole bunch of small nuclear reactors.”

This adds to the evidence that the speculative bid is back in a big way after smaller stocks tied to the AI boom and quantum computing cratered from mid-October through most of November as credit risk began to seep into the AI trade.

Old electronic items tossed on ground for disposal, Hudson

Technology giants don’t look like they used to, as the asset-light era fades

Oracle and Meta are now some of the most capital-intensive businesses in the S&P 500, spending more than energy giants. I guess data really is the new oil?

markets

Space stocks rip amid speculation on Altman joining race

Space stocks AST SpaceMobile, Planet Labs, and Rocket Lab all soared Thursday amid a recovery in the high-beta momentum class of shares coveted by some retail traders.

(High-beta momo stocks are basically shares that have been on a winning streak for a while, and tend to go up a lot more than the overall market on positive days. Goldman Sachs includes all three of the aforementioned space stocks in its themed basket of such shares.)

There’s little other fundamental news out there on the companies themselves.

But a Wall Street Journal report that OpenAI impresario Sam Altman has been toying with the idea of entering the space industry, potentially standing up a rival to Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite service, may also be contributing.

As we’ve mentioned elsewhere, sometimes these stocks seem to trade on a what’s-bad-for-the-Musk-empire-is-good-for-us-and-vice-versa vibe.

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