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Vistra Zero
The Vistra Zero energy storage facility in Moss Landing, California, back in 2021 (Carlos Avila Gonzalez/Getty Images)

Despite DeepSeek, the AI energy trade is alive and well

The S&P 500’s top two stocks are well-known AI energy plays.

The emergence of DeepSeek’s R1 — the supposedly cheap, effective Chinese AI model that provoked a crisis of confidence in the AI trade earlier this week and hammered market darlings like Nvidia — didn’t unseat the leadership of the AI-related energy trade.

Through Thursday’s close, two companies closely associated with investor bets on surging demand for nuclear power related to AI data centers — Constellation Energy Energy and Vistra — are the top stocks in the S&P 500 for the first month of 2025.

Interestingly the nuclear-powered AI trade was huge right out of the gate this year, not to mention last year when Vistra and Constellation were the second and 10th biggest gainers in the S&P 500, respectively. But in the post-DeepSeek world, the AI story these companies are telling could come under more intense scrutiny when both management teams report results in the last week of February.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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