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Dell's earnings still aren't living up to AI expectations

Two weeks ago, I noted that an unexpected stock had matched Nvidia’s rocketship performance over the last year: Dell.

Dell appeared to be riding the AI wave, with its stock price jumping 11% on May 15 after Morgan Stanley raised its price target and predicted that Dell would benefit from more demand for its AI servers. However, that demand had not yet translated to Dell’s top line, with its revenue declining in a period when its market capitalization tripled.

Dell released Q1 earnings today, and it appears that investors are growing tired of waiting for Dell's financial performance to justify its valuation, with the stock falling as much as 15% after hours. Let's compare Dell's Q1 performance to Nvidia's numbers from a week ago:

Dell: Q1 revenue of $22.2B, up 6% from Q1 2024, and operating income of $920M down 14% from the same quarter last year.

Nvidia: Q1 revenue of $26B, up 262% from the year before (and 18% from the quarter before), and operating income of $16.9B, up 690% from the year before.

While Dell's management did note that servers and networking revenue, which includes the most AI-sensitive parts of its business, increased by 42% annually, the market reaction shows that this wasn't enough to impress investors.

Dell released Q1 earnings today, and it appears that investors are growing tired of waiting for Dell's financial performance to justify its valuation, with the stock falling as much as 15% after hours. Let's compare Dell's Q1 performance to Nvidia's numbers from a week ago:

Dell: Q1 revenue of $22.2B, up 6% from Q1 2024, and operating income of $920M down 14% from the same quarter last year.

Nvidia: Q1 revenue of $26B, up 262% from the year before (and 18% from the quarter before), and operating income of $16.9B, up 690% from the year before.

While Dell's management did note that servers and networking revenue, which includes the most AI-sensitive parts of its business, increased by 42% annually, the market reaction shows that this wasn't enough to impress investors.

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Infleqtion targets revenue growth of 23% in 2026, up from 12% in 2025

Quantum computing firm Infleqtion said it’s aiming to book $40 million in sales this year as it released its 2025 results after the close on Wednesday.

That would be an increase of roughly 23% compared to the $32.5 million in revenues the company generated in 2025, and would mark an acceleration from growth of 12% last year.

The seller of quantum sensors and computers went public via a SPAC in February after carrying a pre-money valuation of $1.8 billion (well below other pure-play peers like Rigetti Computing, IonQ, and D-Wave Quantum).

“We did $29 million in revenue in 2024, and then we announced that we did $50 million of booked and awarded business in 2025. I think that sets a good foundation for significant revenue growth going forward,” CEO Matthew Kinsella told us in February. “I’ve always deeply believed that we need to develop that muscle of commercialization.”

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Retail traders are selling everything but the Magnificent 7, per JPMorgan

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain with the skinny on retail trading activity through 11:30 a.m. ET today:

“Retail investors are selling into today’s strength in both ETFs and Single Stocks. In ETFs, they are trimming their broad-based exposure — a major departure from their typical pattern.”

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF and ProShares UltraPro QQQ suffered particularly large outflows, per Jain.

The exceptions to the selling pressure are the Magnificent 7 stocks, he wrote, with Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft enjoying “small net purchases,” while Micron, TSMC, Exxon, and Chevron were the most dumped names.

Retail trading 4/8

Last week, Jain noted that retail traders had been “skipping the dips, selling into rallies, and positioning more defensively” with markets jittery amid the ongoing Mideast war.

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Avis shorts facing $1.1 billion in losses as car rental company racks up 155% gains in its recent rally

Whatever traders are doing with Avis — buying, or just renting — it’s causing short sellers an immense amount of pain.

Shares of the car rental company have traded violently on Wednesday, from up nearly 7% at their highs to down almost 4% at their lows, after a face-ripping rally of 155% over the previous 11 sessions.

Per exchange data, roughly half the shares were sold short as of mid-March. S3 Partners, which tracks higher-frequency measures, said that short interest as a share of float had recently been trimmed to about 43%, down from as high as 53% at the start of the year.

Per Matthew Unterman, managing director at S3, Avis shorts are down $1.1 billion on paper over the past 30 days.

This isn’t Avis’ first rodeo: shares went parabolic in Q4 2021 as part of a meme stock moment in which it briefly became the most valuable company in the Russell 2000 small-cap index.

In any event, cheers to u/Bright_Leopard_4326, who admonished other members of the r/ShortSqueeze subreddit for not paying enough attention to the potential for a boom in the stock 10 days ago, when shares were trading below $150.

AVIS short squeeze
Source: r/ShortSqueeze

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