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Critical Metals soars after Reuters reports US government interest

Critical Metals has climbed on exclusive Reuters reporting that the Trump administration is in talks to take a stake in the company, a move that would build on recent deals where the government has built positions in mining businesses like Lithium Americas and MP Materials.

As Reuters wrote, if the talks are successful, the agreement would give the US government a direct interest in Greenland’s biggest rare earths mining project, after Critical Metals increased its stake in Tanbreez Mining Greenland AS from 42% to more than 92% just last week.

Though the company refused to comment and a government official told Reuters that there was “absolutely nothing close with this company at this time,” the potential stake would build on the government’s interest in the island, with the president having publicly mulled options to take control of Greenland in the past, as well as its increasing attention to critical minerals.

Back in August, for instance, it was reported that the government was considering reallocating at least $2 billion of funds from the CHIPS Act to put toward critical mineral projects, looking to curb its dependence on China for rare earths, which are used widely across defense, technology, and consumer electronics.

As Reuters wrote, if the talks are successful, the agreement would give the US government a direct interest in Greenland’s biggest rare earths mining project, after Critical Metals increased its stake in Tanbreez Mining Greenland AS from 42% to more than 92% just last week.

Though the company refused to comment and a government official told Reuters that there was “absolutely nothing close with this company at this time,” the potential stake would build on the government’s interest in the island, with the president having publicly mulled options to take control of Greenland in the past, as well as its increasing attention to critical minerals.

Back in August, for instance, it was reported that the government was considering reallocating at least $2 billion of funds from the CHIPS Act to put toward critical mineral projects, looking to curb its dependence on China for rare earths, which are used widely across defense, technology, and consumer electronics.

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US gas prices surge, with prediction markets implying >$4 per gallon by the end of March

Pain at the pump is intensifying as the ongoing war in the Middle East pressures supplies.

US average national gas prices rose to $3.45 per gallon on Sunday, according to data from the American Automobile Association, and are up more than 15% since the kinetic conflict started.

“Given Sunday evening’s data and the continued surge in oil prices, I believe there is roughly an 80% chance the national average price of gasoline reaches $4 per gallon within the next month- or sooner,” wrote Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, in a post on Substack on Sunday evening. “In the immediate term, the national average of $3.45 per gallon could climb to roughly $3.75–$3.95 this week alone.”

Prediction markets currently expect prices to end the month around $4.30 to $4.50. On Friday, the prediction market-implied likely range for prices was between $3.60 and $3.70.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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