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Credo soars on record Q2 results fueled by hyperscaler demand

Credo Technology Group surged more than 18% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the cable solutions provider, which makes many products used in AI data centers, delivered Q2 results that blew past Wall Street’s expectations.

Revenue jumped 272.1% year over year to $268 million, topping the ~$235 million estimate, while adjusted earnings per share of $0.67 easily beat the $0.49 forecast compiled by Bloomberg. Credo’s outlook was also strong, with the company expecting Q3 revenue to come in between $335 million and $345 million, implying 27% quarter-on-quarter growth at the midpoint. Analysts expected Q3 sales of $247.5 million.

CEO Bill Brennan called it the strongest quarterly results in Credo’s history, which “reflect the continued build-out of the world’s largest AI training and inference clusters.” 

The results are so strong that they’re not only buoying shares of Credo, but also fueling a rally in Astera Labs, which also provides high-speed connectivity solutions, as well as POET Technologies ahead of the open.

Credo’s blowout quarter was driven by surging hyperscaler demand for its core products, including its connectivity chips, integrated circuits, and active electrical cables  — the purple smart cables famously seen in Elon Musk’s photos of xAI’s Colossus supercomputer, and now the company's fastest-growing segment, per the CEO.

“Revenue stands to be well above management’s 120% growth target from 2Q as active-copper-cable adoption proliferates across AI training and inferencing infrastructure,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence technology analyst Jake Silverman. “Upcoming ramp-ups of optical digital-signal processors for transceivers and PCIe retimers can offer upside given robust growth in end markets and a low share base.”

During the earnings call, management said that four hyperscalers each contributed more than 10% of total revenue in Q2, with a fifth beginning to contribute initial revenue.

The company also announced plans to add three new product categories — noting that its five high-growth pillars together could represent a $10 billion market opportunity in the coming years.

Wall Street is responding favorably to these stellar results, with Credo’s price target being raised to $230 from $175 by Susquehanna, to $225 from $165 by Mizuho, and to $220 from $190 by Needham.

With this morning’s jump, Credo’s shares are up 194% year to date.

Credo’s blowout quarter was driven by surging hyperscaler demand for its core products, including its connectivity chips, integrated circuits, and active electrical cables  — the purple smart cables famously seen in Elon Musk’s photos of xAI’s Colossus supercomputer, and now the company's fastest-growing segment, per the CEO.

“Revenue stands to be well above management’s 120% growth target from 2Q as active-copper-cable adoption proliferates across AI training and inferencing infrastructure,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence technology analyst Jake Silverman. “Upcoming ramp-ups of optical digital-signal processors for transceivers and PCIe retimers can offer upside given robust growth in end markets and a low share base.”

During the earnings call, management said that four hyperscalers each contributed more than 10% of total revenue in Q2, with a fifth beginning to contribute initial revenue.

The company also announced plans to add three new product categories — noting that its five high-growth pillars together could represent a $10 billion market opportunity in the coming years.

Wall Street is responding favorably to these stellar results, with Credo’s price target being raised to $230 from $175 by Susquehanna, to $225 from $165 by Mizuho, and to $220 from $190 by Needham.

With this morning’s jump, Credo’s shares are up 194% year to date.

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United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion estimates.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, President Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” writes Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a longstanding exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders aren't fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

markets

POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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