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Hyunsoo Rim

Coinbase rises after announcing entry into prediction markets, stock trading

Coinbase was nearly 3% higher in early trading on Thursday after the crypto exchange said Wednesday its launching stock trading and prediction markets in the US — as the company accelerates its push to become an everything exchange.

Users will now be able to trade stocks and ETFs alongside their crypto portfolios at zero commission — using either US dollars or the USDC stablecoin — within their Coinbase app and account, the company said.

Prediction markets will be offered through CFTC-regulated provider Kalshi, allowing users to trade yes-or-no contracts tied to elections, sports, economic indicators, and more, with bets placed in US dollars or USDC stablecoin.

Prediction markets have surged in popularity after a federal court allowed event contracts tied to the US election to proceed last year, overcoming attempted regulatory curbs. Contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have proven more accurate on certain outcomes — most notably the 2024 US presidential election — than traditional markets, though critics warn of the dangers of insider trading.

The space is heating up quickly, with crypto exchange Gemini recently securing CFTC approval, Crypto.com teaming up with Trump Media to launch markets on Truth Social, and Robinhood already offering prediction markets through Kalshi while expanding its event trading features, with 11 billion contracts traded by more than 1 million customers on the app since launching late last year.

(Disclosure: Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

Alongside the major rollouts, Coinbase also unveiled a broad slate of new products, including Coinbase Business; custom-branded stablecoins backed by flexible collaterals like USDC; an AI-powered financial adviser; and Coinbase Tokenize, an institutional platform aimed at enabling 24/7 on-chain trading of tokenized assets.

Coinbases shares are down about 2.5% year to date, after erasing roughly a 50% gain logged as recently as early October amid a broader sell-off across crypto markets.

Prediction markets have surged in popularity after a federal court allowed event contracts tied to the US election to proceed last year, overcoming attempted regulatory curbs. Contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have proven more accurate on certain outcomes — most notably the 2024 US presidential election — than traditional markets, though critics warn of the dangers of insider trading.

The space is heating up quickly, with crypto exchange Gemini recently securing CFTC approval, Crypto.com teaming up with Trump Media to launch markets on Truth Social, and Robinhood already offering prediction markets through Kalshi while expanding its event trading features, with 11 billion contracts traded by more than 1 million customers on the app since launching late last year.

(Disclosure: Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

Alongside the major rollouts, Coinbase also unveiled a broad slate of new products, including Coinbase Business; custom-branded stablecoins backed by flexible collaterals like USDC; an AI-powered financial adviser; and Coinbase Tokenize, an institutional platform aimed at enabling 24/7 on-chain trading of tokenized assets.

Coinbases shares are down about 2.5% year to date, after erasing roughly a 50% gain logged as recently as early October amid a broader sell-off across crypto markets.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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