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Coinbase rises after announcing entry into prediction markets, stock trading

Coinbase was nearly 3% higher in early trading on Thursday after the crypto exchange said Wednesday its launching stock trading and prediction markets in the US — as the company accelerates its push to become an everything exchange.

Users will now be able to trade stocks and ETFs alongside their crypto portfolios at zero commission — using either US dollars or the USDC stablecoin — within their Coinbase app and account, the company said.

Prediction markets will be offered through CFTC-regulated provider Kalshi, allowing users to trade yes-or-no contracts tied to elections, sports, economic indicators, and more, with bets placed in US dollars or USDC stablecoin.

Prediction markets have surged in popularity after a federal court allowed event contracts tied to the US election to proceed last year, overcoming attempted regulatory curbs. Contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have proven more accurate on certain outcomes — most notably the 2024 US presidential election — than traditional markets, though critics warn of the dangers of insider trading.

The space is heating up quickly, with crypto exchange Gemini recently securing CFTC approval, Crypto.com teaming up with Trump Media to launch markets on Truth Social, and Robinhood already offering prediction markets through Kalshi while expanding its event trading features, with 11 billion contracts traded by more than 1 million customers on the app since launching late last year.

(Disclosure: Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

Alongside the major rollouts, Coinbase also unveiled a broad slate of new products, including Coinbase Business; custom-branded stablecoins backed by flexible collaterals like USDC; an AI-powered financial adviser; and Coinbase Tokenize, an institutional platform aimed at enabling 24/7 on-chain trading of tokenized assets.

Coinbases shares are down about 2.5% year to date, after erasing roughly a 50% gain logged as recently as early October amid a broader sell-off across crypto markets.

Prediction markets have surged in popularity after a federal court allowed event contracts tied to the US election to proceed last year, overcoming attempted regulatory curbs. Contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have proven more accurate on certain outcomes — most notably the 2024 US presidential election — than traditional markets, though critics warn of the dangers of insider trading.

The space is heating up quickly, with crypto exchange Gemini recently securing CFTC approval, Crypto.com teaming up with Trump Media to launch markets on Truth Social, and Robinhood already offering prediction markets through Kalshi while expanding its event trading features, with 11 billion contracts traded by more than 1 million customers on the app since launching late last year.

(Disclosure: Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

Alongside the major rollouts, Coinbase also unveiled a broad slate of new products, including Coinbase Business; custom-branded stablecoins backed by flexible collaterals like USDC; an AI-powered financial adviser; and Coinbase Tokenize, an institutional platform aimed at enabling 24/7 on-chain trading of tokenized assets.

Coinbases shares are down about 2.5% year to date, after erasing roughly a 50% gain logged as recently as early October amid a broader sell-off across crypto markets.

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Oracle soars after TikTok signs agreement to sell its US operations to consortium that includes the cloud computing giant

Oracle soared in after-hours trading on Thursday on news that TikTok owner ByteDance signed contracts with the three major investors who are leading a joint venture to take over the short-form video app’s US operations, per a widely-cited memo from TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to employees.

The trio of parties in that consortium are the cloud computing company, private equity firm Silver Lake, and MGX, a tech investment company backed by Abu Dhabi.

Per reports, the structure of the deal is roughly aligned with what was outlined in September, which valued TikTok’s US operations at about $14 billion. Relative to some less-popular peers, that seems like a pretty low price tag, so picking up doomscrolling on a discount (or if you prefer, short-term video browsing on a budget) looks to be a worthy catalyst for the bump in the beaten-down hyperscaler’s shares. And that’s even before mentioning the potential for Oracle’s cloud business to enhance its preexisting relationship with TikTok.

CAMARILLO, CA FEBRUARY 09: A cannabis farm worker de-leafs cann

Trump signs executive order expediting reclassification of marijuana as a less dangerous drug

Rescheduling would lift regulatory pressures that have been weighing on US cannabis operators’ margins. Shares of weed companies, many of which don’t sell cannabis in the US, tumbled an hour before the executive order was signed.

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Rivian climbs as it rolls out a “universal hands-free” update and scores an upgrade from Baird

Shares of EV maker Rivian are on pace for their 10th best day of 2025 on Thursday, following an upgrade from Baird to “buy” from “hold” and the rollout of its new hands-free driving update.

Baird raised its price target on Rivian nearly 79% to $25, writing that “2026 is the year of R2.”

Meanwhile, Rivian says its new hands-free feature will allow drivers to take their hands off the wheel across 3.5 million miles of US and Canadian roads.

Despite referring to it as universal hands-free driving, the EV maker says the feature will not stop or slow for traffic lights or stop signs, follow navigation systems, or make turns, and will function only on roads with visible lane lines.

Rivian revealed the update at its AI Day last week, when it also hinted at a robotaxi plan.

Meanwhile, Rivian says its new hands-free feature will allow drivers to take their hands off the wheel across 3.5 million miles of US and Canadian roads.

Despite referring to it as universal hands-free driving, the EV maker says the feature will not stop or slow for traffic lights or stop signs, follow navigation systems, or make turns, and will function only on roads with visible lane lines.

Rivian revealed the update at its AI Day last week, when it also hinted at a robotaxi plan.

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The stock market loves your rising electricity bill

Utilities with a footprint in the massive PJM Interconnection, the country’s largest power grid, were up Thursday after prices set in a key auction hit a record high of $333.44 per megawatt-day.

Such power providers, including Talen Energy, Constellation Energy, and Vistra, saw tidy gains shortly before midday.

“This auction leaves no doubt that data centers’ demand for electricity continues to far outstrip new supply, and the solution will require concerted action involving PJM, its stakeholders, state and federal partners, and the data center industry itself,” Stu Bresler, set to become PJM’s chief operating officer next month, told Reuters.

As I’ve previously mused, political pushback from high power prices, partially created by the AI boom, could become a constraint on development of such sites. Democrats in the US Senate are now calling for hearings on the issue.

It’s fertile political soil. This morning’s US CPI report for November showed electricity prices up nearly 7% year over year, the highest since the tail end of the postpandemic inflation in April 2023.

“This auction leaves no doubt that data centers’ demand for electricity continues to far outstrip new supply, and the solution will require concerted action involving PJM, its stakeholders, state and federal partners, and the data center industry itself,” Stu Bresler, set to become PJM’s chief operating officer next month, told Reuters.

As I’ve previously mused, political pushback from high power prices, partially created by the AI boom, could become a constraint on development of such sites. Democrats in the US Senate are now calling for hearings on the issue.

It’s fertile political soil. This morning’s US CPI report for November showed electricity prices up nearly 7% year over year, the highest since the tail end of the postpandemic inflation in April 2023.

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