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Cloudflare jumps as BofA gives the stock a two-notch upgrade

The upgrade is part of Wall Street’s scramble to find the next winners from AI.

Matt Phillips

Cloudflare got a leapfrog upgrade from Bank of America analysts on Tuesday, who jacked their rating on the seller of website security and performance software to “buy” from “underperform,” bypassing the typical analytic pitstop at “neutral,” “hold,” or whatever happens to be the preferred house term of art. The analysts wrote:

“We think Cloudflare is poised to be one of the true AI winners in software. It stands out by offering customers an alternative to building their own capacity — an expensive and inefficient task. AIaaS [AI as a service] is already resonating with customers; our surveys show AI is the leading product Cloudflare customers are looking to adopt in the NTM, with average AI spending forecast to increase +8% to $100k per customer, or 15% of total customer spending. Further, customers are increasingly choosing Cloudflare over hyperscalers like AWS (Amazon Web Services), Oracle and Azure given ease of use, scalability and utilization benefits.”

BofA’s analysts are sticking their neck out somewhat on this call, which isn’t consensus.

According to FactSet, Wall Street opinion on the company is fairly divided, with less than 40% of analysts labeling the stock — which is trading at a seemingly absurd valuation of 146x expected earnings and 19x expected sales — a buy.

But more broadly, BofA’s read on Cloudflare is part of a Wall Street-wide effort to dig up stocks likely to benefit from the next phase of AI’s integration into the economy, now that excitement over the early winners, like Nvidia, seems to be petering out a bit. We recently spotlighted a Goldman note on a similar topic with a list of potential AI winners that included the stock, among others such as Palantir and Spotify.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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