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Cloudflare jumps as BofA gives the stock a two-notch upgrade

The upgrade is part of Wall Street’s scramble to find the next winners from AI.

Matt Phillips

Cloudflare got a leapfrog upgrade from Bank of America analysts on Tuesday, who jacked their rating on the seller of website security and performance software to “buy” from “underperform,” bypassing the typical analytic pitstop at “neutral,” “hold,” or whatever happens to be the preferred house term of art. The analysts wrote:

“We think Cloudflare is poised to be one of the true AI winners in software. It stands out by offering customers an alternative to building their own capacity — an expensive and inefficient task. AIaaS [AI as a service] is already resonating with customers; our surveys show AI is the leading product Cloudflare customers are looking to adopt in the NTM, with average AI spending forecast to increase +8% to $100k per customer, or 15% of total customer spending. Further, customers are increasingly choosing Cloudflare over hyperscalers like AWS (Amazon Web Services), Oracle and Azure given ease of use, scalability and utilization benefits.”

BofA’s analysts are sticking their neck out somewhat on this call, which isn’t consensus.

According to FactSet, Wall Street opinion on the company is fairly divided, with less than 40% of analysts labeling the stock — which is trading at a seemingly absurd valuation of 146x expected earnings and 19x expected sales — a buy.

But more broadly, BofA’s read on Cloudflare is part of a Wall Street-wide effort to dig up stocks likely to benefit from the next phase of AI’s integration into the economy, now that excitement over the early winners, like Nvidia, seems to be petering out a bit. We recently spotlighted a Goldman note on a similar topic with a list of potential AI winners that included the stock, among others such as Palantir and Spotify.

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Spectrum owner Charter Communications is on pace for its worst day ever as broadband numbers and Q1 results disappoint

Cable and broadband company Charter Communications is on pace for its worst-ever trading day on Friday, as investors dump the stock following its Q1 results and forward guidance.

Charter, which owns Spectrum, reported adjusted earnings of $9.17 per share, below Wall Street estimates of $9.96 per share from analysts polled by FactSet. On the company’s earnings call, CFO Jessica Fischer appeared to lower its guidance for full-year revenue per user.

“It’ll be close either way in terms of whether we end up with net growth,” Fischer said.

The company lost 120,000 internet subscribers in the quarter, deeper than the expected 94,800 and double its loss from the same period last year. That news comes one day after Comcast’s earnings provided a bit of optimism for broadband as a category: the company reported Q1 losses of 65,000, significantly improving from 183,000 losses in the same quarter last year. Comcast is down more than 10%, on pace for its worst day since January 2025.

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Nvidia poised to snap longest run without a record close since the AI boom began

The stock price of the company responsible for the brains of the AI boom is finally showing some brawn again.

Nvidia, the world’s most valuable company, is poised to close at a record high for the first time since October 29, 2025, on Friday (if it ends above $207.04).

The AI chip trade is on fire, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index slated to deliver its 18th consecutive gain as Intel’s robust results and outlook juice the entire ecosystem. Hyperscalers report earnings next week, and their capex guidance can be thought of as the earnings guidance for Nvidia and other AI suppliers for the quarters to come.

This would end Nvidia’s longest stretch without a record close since the unofficial start of the AI boom (when the chip designer delivered blowout quarterly results in May 2023).

(Sorry if I jinx this!)

markets

Lilly slips after prescriptions for its weight-loss pill come in below expectations in second week

Eli Lilly fell on Friday after prescription data for its new weight-loss pill, Foundayo, showed that it’s having a significantly slower rollout than its top competitor.

The pill was prescribed about 3,700 times in its second week, according to IQVIA data cited by Deutsche Bank analysts, compared to the roughly 8,000 they were expecting. Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy pill, which came out in January, hit over 18,000 prescriptions in its second week.

The FDA approved Foundayo on April 1 and shipments began on April 9. Deutsche analysts noted that Lilly’s GLP-1 injections, which currently outsell Novo’s, also had a slower start.

Lilly fell more than 4% after the numbers were released. Novo Nordisk rose more than 5%.

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