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Semiconductor Stocks China Taiwan
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Chip stocks are getting routed by political news

Both presidential candidates are doing damage, leading to the chip sector’s worst day in years

Semiconductor stocks staggered through their worst day in four years, as potential new Biden administration regulations on chip-related tech exports to China, and bombastic Trump comments aimed at Taiwan, put a hurt on the sector.

A large part of the downdraft is due to the Biden administration floating the possibility that it could impose harsh new restrictions on companies that export key chip-related technologies to China, including the strategically crucial manufacturers of chip production equipment ASML and Japan’s Tokyo Electron , which were both battered by the news.

Elsewhere, former President Donald J. Trump — who many investors are betting will win in November — upended long-standing assumptions about U.S. commitment to defending Taiwan. That relationship was built in recent decades around the strategic importance of the island’s role as the producer of a large share of the sophisticated microprocessors the American economy relies on — but in an interview with Bloomberg, Trump thew cold water on defending Taiwan:

Asked about America’s commitment to defending Taiwan from China, which views the Asian democracy as a breakaway province, Trump makes it clear that, despite recent bipartisan support for Taiwan, he’s at best lukewarm about standing up to Chinese aggression. Part of his skepticism is grounded in economic resentment. “Taiwan took our chip business from us,” he says. “I mean, how stupid are we? They took all of our chip business. They’re immensely wealthy.” What he wants is for Taiwan to pay the US for protection. “I don’t think we’re any different from an insurance policy. Why? Why are we doing this?”

Taiwan Semiconductor plunged following those comments — its worst drop in four years — and companies that lean heavily on TSMC to produce their chips on a contract basis such as Qualcomm, Broadcom and Nvidia, were also hit.

The best-performing chip stock on the day was longstanding sector laggard Intel, one of the last large domestic producers of semiconductors thought capable of possibly producing the kind of sophisticated chips Taiwan has specialized in for decades.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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