Markets
markets
Yiwen Lu
10/9/24

Chinese stock rally takes a U-turn

As traders grow impatient with the Chinese government’s reluctance to introduce new stimulus measures, the market is sinking furiously in response.

Traders were disappointed by China’s economic planning agency’s press conference. While there were high hopes for new fiscal policies from the government, the presser turned out to be a nothingburger. China’s Ministry of Finance now plans another briefing on Saturday, during which it will introduce a “countercyclical adjustment of fiscal policy.”

But as The Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei put it, the framing indicates that China’s leadership sees the country’s economic woes as “cyclical” rather than “structural.” That disappointed analysts who expected the government to acknowledge the problem and aim to lift the economic fundamentals.

The CSI 300 Index, which tracks stocks listed in Mainland China, plunged 7.1% on Wednesday, the index’s biggest drop since 2020. In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index finished 1.4% lower on Wednesday, after losing a whopping 9.4% on Tuesday, its biggest loss in 14 years. 

The Mainland China market closed for the first week of October for the National Day holiday, while the Hong Kong stock exchange restarted trading on October 2. This allowed the Hong Kong market to react first to global market moves and investor sentiment. 

In the US, ETFs that track China stocks also suffered from loss. iShares MSCI China ETF, which tracks Chinese companies available to international investors, was down 10.8% on Tuesday. iShares China Large-Cap ETF fell 9.2%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund lost 10%. Businesses that rely on Chinese consumers, including beauty retailer Estée Lauder, and luxury stocks also suffered from losses.

But as The Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei put it, the framing indicates that China’s leadership sees the country’s economic woes as “cyclical” rather than “structural.” That disappointed analysts who expected the government to acknowledge the problem and aim to lift the economic fundamentals.

The CSI 300 Index, which tracks stocks listed in Mainland China, plunged 7.1% on Wednesday, the index’s biggest drop since 2020. In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index finished 1.4% lower on Wednesday, after losing a whopping 9.4% on Tuesday, its biggest loss in 14 years. 

The Mainland China market closed for the first week of October for the National Day holiday, while the Hong Kong stock exchange restarted trading on October 2. This allowed the Hong Kong market to react first to global market moves and investor sentiment. 

In the US, ETFs that track China stocks also suffered from loss. iShares MSCI China ETF, which tracks Chinese companies available to international investors, was down 10.8% on Tuesday. iShares China Large-Cap ETF fell 9.2%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund lost 10%. Businesses that rely on Chinese consumers, including beauty retailer Estée Lauder, and luxury stocks also suffered from losses.

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Rocket lab soars to new record close amid rally for retail faves

Rocket Lab ripped by roughly 10% Friday to close at a new all-time high, riding an upturn of retail enthusiasm for a coterie of tech-themed favorites, even as the broader market was more or less flat on the day.

Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

It’s not Rocket Lab’s first retail rodeo, as the money-losing company has more than doubled this year and is up nearly 700% over the last 12 months.

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Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ended August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch last year, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per-capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant signed a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

markets

Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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