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Luke Kawa

Chinese food delivery stocks soar as regulatory probe into price wars may save them from themselves

If there’s one thing Chinese companies are known for, it’s ruthless competition on price to make sure the nation’s products are attractive on global markets. Oftentimes, this comes with implicit or explicit state support for favored industries, which draws the ire of other countries.

Production > profitability is a pretty good shorthand for how China attempts to conquer tradable goods (see: electric vehicles). However, when it comes to consumer-oriented services, policymakers clearly don’t feel the same way.

Alibaba, Meituan, andJD.com are all soaring after the Chinese State Council’s anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition committee said it’s investigating the food delivery sector over practices that are potentially distorting the market and weighing on brick-and-mortar firms.

These tech giants have been investing heavily in their food delivery capabilities, including via subsidies and incentives. Effectively, the market reaction here is that traders believe regulators are saving these companies from themselves.

A commentary in the state-run People’s Daily published midyear 2025, when JD.com announced plans to bolster its food delivery business, argued that there will be no “winners” in these price wars, which would lead to irrational consumption.

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US gas prices surge, with prediction markets implying >$4 per gallon by the end of March

Pain at the pump is intensifying as the ongoing war in the Middle East pressures supplies.

US average national gas prices rose to $3.45 per gallon on Sunday, according to data from the American Automobile Association, and are up more than 15% since the kinetic conflict started.

“Given Sunday evening’s data and the continued surge in oil prices, I believe there is roughly an 80% chance the national average price of gasoline reaches $4 per gallon within the next month- or sooner,” wrote Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, in a post on Substack on Sunday evening. “In the immediate term, the national average of $3.45 per gallon could climb to roughly $3.75–$3.95 this week alone.”

Prediction markets currently expect prices to end the month around $4.30 to $4.50. On Friday, the prediction market-implied likely range for prices was between $3.60 and $3.70.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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