Bitcoin ice carving (Kirsty O’Connor/Getty Images)

Bitcoin is behaving like a no-fundamentals tech stock

The three-month correlation between the daily changes in the iShares Bitcoin ETF and a Goldman Sachs basket of nonprofitable tech stocks is at a record high.

Luke Kawa

19h

Digital gold. An uncorrelated store of value. An uncorrelated asset.

Bitcoin’s been called many things, and those aforementioned monikers may reflect how the preeminent crypto asset has behaved at different times over the past decade. However, that does not describe its current regime, in which it’s trading like a tech company that doesn’t make any money.

The three-month correlation between the iShares Bitcoin Trust and an index of nonprofitable tech stocks compiled by Goldman Sachs recently hit a record at 0.62.

Of course, this fund has a history of less than two years, so “record” may ring a little hollow. Turning to the three-month correlation between the weekly changes of bitcoin and this nonprofitable tech basket (to adjust for weekend trading days), the story is the same, though mildly less extreme relative to history. That correlation stands at about 0.78, in the 97th percentile based on data going back to December 2014.

In other words, if you’re looking to try to explain the movements in bitcoin these days, the answer can be found in how broad appetite for speculation waxes and wanes.

Luke Kawa13h

Micron soars after reporting huge Q1 beat, with Q2 sales guidance ahead of every Wall Street analyst’s estimates

Micron has completely erased Wednesday’s big losses, rising 9.5% in premarket trading as of 4:20 a.m. ET, after the memory chip specialist yesterday posted stellar results for its fiscal Q1 2026 and a much better outlook for the current quarter than Wall Street anticipated.

For Q1, the company reported:

Revenues: $13.64 billion (estimate: $12.95 billion)
Adjusted earnings per share: $4.78 (estimate: $3.95)

And the Street’s consensus was well ahead of even the upper ranges of the guidance provided by management for the quarter for sales of $12.5 billion (plus or minus $300 million) and $3.75 (plus or minus $0.15).

For Q2, management provided an outlook for adjusted revenues of $18.3 billion to $19.1 billion, and adjusted EPS of $8.22 to $8.62. Wall Street had penciled in revenues of $14.38 billion with adjusted EPS of $4.71.

Even the bottom end of the ranges management provided is well above the top analyst’s estimate for the quarter.

These results may help spark a revival in semi stocks, which have gotten trounced in recent sessions. Hard disk drive sellers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital are also rising in after-hours trading, as is flash memory seller Sandisk.

Micron has been one of the worst performers in the S&P 500 since last Thursday’s record close, down double digits from then until Wednesday close as investors broadly dumped AI names. Prior to that, shares had been on fire amid a bevy of Wall Street price target hikes and surging memory chip prices as demand runs ahead of supply. The AI boom has fueled a spike of immense appetite not only for GPUs and custom chips but also memory chips as well, as data centers also need a boatload of these to store information and feed it to those processors. Micron and its major competitors, SK Hynix and Samsung, have already sold out production for their most advanced high-bandwidth memory offerings for calendar year 2026.

Micron recently announced that it would be exiting its consumer chip business to focus on serving its AI customers.

Toby Bochan

Market wrap

13h

Markets slump as AI trade tumbles

Tech dragged US stocks lower, especially the Nasdaq 100.

The East Side of the US Capitol Building in the early morning, Washington DC, USA.

Group of House Republicans defy leadership and join Democrats to force ACA vote

The subsidies are still likely to end before the deadline.

J. Edward Moreno18h

Matt Phillips19h

Oracle slides on report that data center partner Blue Owl won’t fund $10 billion Michigan facility; company says project is on track without Blue Owl

Oracle shares declined early Wednesday after the Financial Times reported that Blue Owl Capital, the largest funder of Oracle’s data center investment push, will not finance a 1-gigawatt Oracle data center planned for Saline Township, Michigan. The pink-paged periodical reports:

“Blue Owl had been in discussions with lenders and Oracle about investing in the planned 1 gigawatt data centre being built to serve OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan.

But the agreement will not go forward after negotiations stalled, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The private capital group has been the primary backer for Oracle’s largest data centre projects in the US, investing its own money and raising billions more in debt to build the facilities. Blue Owl typically sets up a special purpose vehicle, which owns the data centre and leases it to Oracle.”

For its part, Oracle told Bloomberg on Wednesday morning that negotiations for a data center project in Michigan are “on schedule” and don’t include Blue Owl.

While not horrible, Wednesday’s drop puts Oracle down 15% so far this week, as the shares continue to be clobbered by rapidly shifting investor sentiment toward lofty AI investment plans.

Oracle is down roughly 45% from the all-time high it hit on September 10, in a plunge that has destroyed more than $400 billion in value. Yowza.

“Blue Owl had been in discussions with lenders and Oracle about investing in the planned 1 gigawatt data centre being built to serve OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan.

But the agreement will not go forward after negotiations stalled, according to three people familiar with the matter.

The private capital group has been the primary backer for Oracle’s largest data centre projects in the US, investing its own money and raising billions more in debt to build the facilities. Blue Owl typically sets up a special purpose vehicle, which owns the data centre and leases it to Oracle.”

For its part, Oracle told Bloomberg on Wednesday morning that negotiations for a data center project in Michigan are “on schedule” and don’t include Blue Owl.

While not horrible, Wednesday’s drop puts Oracle down 15% so far this week, as the shares continue to be clobbered by rapidly shifting investor sentiment toward lofty AI investment plans.

Oracle is down roughly 45% from the all-time high it hit on September 10, in a plunge that has destroyed more than $400 billion in value. Yowza.

Max Knoblauch19h

Roblox willing to make changes to have its ban lifted in Russia, one of its biggest markets

Gaming platform Roblox on Wednesday said it is willing to make certain changes in order to have its ban lifted in Russia.

Russia banned Roblox earlier this month, alleging that the platform hosted “extremist materials” and “LGBT propaganda.” The country is a top 5 market for Roblox.

Shares were up 0.7% in recent trading.

The company is “ready to temporarily limit communication features in Russia and to revise our content moderation processes to address the legal requirements necessary to restore our community’s access to the platform,” a Roblox spokesperson told Reuters.

Russian media has reported that children in the country have sent thousands of letters in protest of the ban. Last week, JPMorgan downgraded Roblox. The firm said Russia’s ban could affect up to 10 million daily active users for the company.

Roblox gaming platform says it is ready to make changes to get Russian ban lifted