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Axon beats Q1 revenue expectations, raises guidance

It might be a great time to be a surveillance company. Axon, a maker of police body cameras, Tasers, and AI intelligence tools, is ticking lower postmarket after the company reported revenue exceeding expectations in its Q1 earnings report and upbeat guidance for the year. 

Here are the numbers:

  • Revenue of $807.3 million (compared to analyst estimates of $779.2 million).

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $202 million (estimate: $183.8 million).

For the full year, Axon boosted its target for revenue growth to a range of 30% to 32%, up from a quarter ago, when it forecast 27% to 30% growth.

Previously, the stock had been sliding despite increasing revenue. It was trading down more than 32% since the beginning of the year, suffering the same fate as many software-as-a-service stocks thanks to AI-related anxieties. 

But for the year ahead, Axon says the company entered the year with “strong momentum, delivering record quarterly revenue,” marking its ninth consecutive quarter of more than 30% growth thanks to its suite of technologies, including artificial intelligence and counter-drone offensive products.

Axon told investors its targeting $6 billion in annual revenue by 2028, which would be more than double 2025’s results. The company plans to get there by growing globally (Axon says it’s currently “deployed” in 85 countries) and continuing to partner with federal agencies including the Department of Homeland Security, as well as reaching out to the business community.

The company also noted that the federal governments Safer Skies Act, passed in Decembers National Defense Authorization Act, earmarks $250 million in federal grants for local agencies to further “track and mitigate drone threats.” Again, more good news for Axon, which grew that segment of its business 300% year over year.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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