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Analysts have increasingly high expectations from Robinhood

But high expectations can be a double-edged sword.

Matt Phillips

Morgan Stanley analysts are out Monday reiterating their bullish stance on trading app Robinhood, which is set to report earnings Wednesday. (Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc.)

They write:

“HOOD is a major beneficiary of three themes that are simultaneously unfolding: 1) secular market share gainer as the platform curates more content at an accelerated pace to win share from Gen Y/Z that’s moving into prime earnings years; 2) cyclical uplift in retail engagement (capital markets reopening, animal spirits reviving); and 3) de-regulation, particularly crypto with a friendlier regulatory backdrop that can unlock new revenue pools.”

Morgan Stanley, which upgraded its target for Q4 earnings per share to $0.44, is part of what seems like a rising trend of expectations for the company, given a record-breaking level of activity among retail traders.

As a result, analysts and investors are indicating they’re expecting Robinhood’s numbers to hit new highs for Q4 2024, with EPS of $0.41 (higher than Q2 2024’s record of $0.21) and revenue of roughly $935 million (topping Q2’s $682 million), according to the Street.

There’s some sense that traders are even more optimistic, with the company’s price-to-forward-earnings ratio topping 47, far higher than the the Nasdaq Composite’s multiple of 28.

Robinhood’s shares are already up roughly 50% this year, a run-up that may raise the risk disappointment when the official numbers are released.

(Full disclosure: I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

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Spectrum owner Charter Communications is on pace for its worst day ever as broadband numbers and Q1 results disappoint

Cable and broadband company Charter Communications is on pace for its worst-ever trading day on Friday, as investors dump the stock following its Q1 results and forward guidance.

Charter, which owns Spectrum, reported adjusted earnings of $9.17 per share, below Wall Street estimates of $9.96 per share from analysts polled by FactSet. On the company’s earnings call, CFO Jessica Fischer appeared to lower its guidance for full-year revenue per user.

“It’ll be close either way in terms of whether we end up with net growth,” Fischer said.

The company lost 120,000 internet subscribers in the quarter, deeper than the expected 94,800 and double its loss from the same period last year. That news comes one day after Comcast’s earnings provided a bit of optimism for broadband as a category: the company reported Q1 losses of 65,000, significantly improving from 183,000 losses in the same quarter last year. Comcast is down more than 10%, on pace for its worst day since January 2025.

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Nvidia poised to snap longest run without a record close since the AI boom began

The stock price of the company responsible for the brains of the AI boom is finally showing some brawn again.

Nvidia, the world’s most valuable company, is poised to close at a record high for the first time since October 29, 2025, on Friday (if it ends above $207.04).

The AI chip trade is on fire, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index slated to deliver its 18th consecutive gain as Intel’s robust results and outlook juice the entire ecosystem. Hyperscalers report earnings next week, and their capex guidance can be thought of as the earnings guidance for Nvidia and other AI suppliers for the quarters to come.

This would end Nvidia’s longest stretch without a record close since the unofficial start of the AI boom (when the chip designer delivered blowout quarterly results in May 2023).

(Sorry if I jinx this!)

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Lilly slips after prescriptions for its weight-loss pill come in below expectations in second week

Eli Lilly fell on Friday after prescription data for its new weight-loss pill, Foundayo, showed that it’s having a significantly slower rollout than its top competitor.

The pill was prescribed about 3,700 times in its second week, according to IQVIA data cited by Deutsche Bank analysts, compared to the roughly 8,000 they were expecting. Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy pill, which came out in January, hit over 18,000 prescriptions in its second week.

The FDA approved Foundayo on April 1 and shipments began on April 9. Deutsche analysts noted that Lilly’s GLP-1 injections, which currently outsell Novo’s, also had a slower start.

Lilly fell more than 4% after the numbers were released. Novo Nordisk rose more than 5%.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.