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Analyst slaps a rare “sell” rating on Apple

Apple watcher Craig Moffett made the call in light of what he calls “a steady drumbeat of bad news.”

Matt Phillips

Don’t be fooled by the 10% run-up in share price over the last three months, says tech analyst Craig Moffett. The upturn in Apple has come amid a drip, drip, drip of downbeat headlines that threaten to weigh on the company going forward, he wrote.

“A Federal Judge (Amit Mehta) had declared the payments Google makes to Apple each year for Google’s preferred (default) search position to be illegal. Apple’s position in China has steadily weakened. The Vision Pro, already expected to be something of a bust, has disappointed even the low expectations that had been set for it. And while the incoming Trump Administration is likely to exempt Apple from import tariffs, there is a genuine risk that Apple will be targeted with retaliatory tariffs in countries negatively impacted by U.S. import duties in unrelated categories.”

But most worrisome, Moffett says, is the “the lukewarm (we’re being charitable here) response consumers have given Apple’s first suite of AI features.”

For the record, as of yesterday, two-thirds of the analysts covering Apple still have a buy or overweight rating on the stock, though that’s down from nearly 80% that saw Apple as a buy back in January 2023. And while the Street seems bullish on the surface, the average 12-month price target is less than 2% above where the iPhone maker is currently trading.

Moffett is the senior research analyst at MoffettNathanson, an independent research provider specializing in the TMT sectors. His price target of $188 implies a more than 20% decline for Apple.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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