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Analyst: “Longer-term vectors that drive the stock’s value” haven’t changed for Tesla

A longtime Tesla bull on yesterday’s market meshugas.

6/6/25 11:39AM

Longtime Tesla bull Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley is out with a note putting a characteristically optimistic spin on yesterday’s high-profile feud between Elon Musk and the president. He writes:

1. Credits. We do not believe the phasing out of EV tax credits from the BBB (Big Beautiful Bill) is material to the long term outlook for TSLA.

2. Distraction. We believe Tesla’s recent 50% rally was driven primarily by hopes that Elon Musk would refocus time and attention on Tesla.

3. Cars. While the situation remains fluid, we believe the disagreement will not help Tesla demand but could potentially (temporarily) alienate multiple sides of the political spectrum.

4. Bigger picture. While emotions are running high, we are not convinced the longer-term vectors that drive the stock’s value have changed here. AI leadership, autonomy/robotics, manufacturing, supply chain re-architecture, renewable power, critical infrastructure... Tesla still holds so many valuable cards that are largely apolitical, in our opinion.

5. Volatility. When putting our trading cap on, we have higher conviction in near-term volatility than near-term direction. We reiterate our $410 price target but are prepared for the stock to give up more than just the 4 weeks of performance it has sacrificed so far.”

True-to-form Jonas remains one of the most optimistic Wall Street analysts on the company, with a $410 share price on the stock, about a 35% premium to where the stock was trading midday Friday and far higher than the Wall Street consensus price target of $308.

Jonas writes that his optimism is based on his belief that Tesla’s capabilities in key areas of physical AI (autonomous vehicles, humanoids and other form factors) including data, robotics, energy storage, compute, manufacturing and space/comms/networking/infrastructure offer growth and margin opportunities that greatly exceed those of the traditional EV business,” adding that “the challenges facing Tesla’s current business are widely reported and well known, while the opportunities in the future business are potentially greatly underestimated.”

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For more on the company, check out our interview with its CEO, Eric Lefkofsky.

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