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Americans have been hoarding cash — even before the latest market turmoil

Assets in money market funds have been surging since 2022, hitting a record high last week.

Last week’s reciprocal tariff announcement has investors more jittery than at any point this year. Economists are raising the odds of a global recession, US and global stock indexes are tumbling, and oil prices have tanked. Instead of buying the dip, though, some investors and corporations are doing the opposite: hoarding cash.  

According to The Wall Street Journal, assets in money market funds (MMFs) — near-cash assets that invest in short-term debt, offering a secure, modest yield — hit a record $7.4 trillion, per Crane data. Over $60 billion flowed in during just the first few days of April, as some investors sought safer ground.

However, the MMF asset boom started long before tariffs made headlines.

MMF assets growth chart
Sherwood News

According to a different data set from ICI, money market fund assets have grown as much as 60% in the past five years, from $4.4 trillion to just over $7 trillion, as of April 2. Part of this surge comes down (of course) to safety, with MMF assets having spiked during the 2008 financial crisis, the early days of Covid, and after the Silicon Valley Bank collapse in early 2023.

But much of it is also about yield: since the Fed started hiking rates in 2022, MMFs have offered increasingly attractive returns, now averaging 4.2%, up from near-zero just a few years ago. Even with the Fed’s pivot, investors haven’t pulled out, with MMFs becoming more of a long-term allocation rather than “dry powder” sitting on the sidelines, waiting for the storm to pass.

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Oil-sensitive stocks and companies relying on middle-class spending are getting crushed

Sometimes there’s a singular story driving the markets. With US benchmark crude oil prices topping $100 a barrel, Monday is one of those days.

Oil-sensitive stocks are getting clobbered, with airlines foremost among them. JetBlue, United Airlines, and Alaska Air are all tumbling.

But the pain is more widespread than that, with industries where oil prices are a major input, such as chemical manufacturers (Eastman Chemical), industrial machinery makers (Illinois Tool Works), and building products (Owens-Corning), also getting shellacked.

More ominous — economically speaking — is the performance of companies catering to America’s middle class, including Macy’s, Kohl’s, Best Buy, and Texas Roadhouse. The drop suggests that investors and traders expect the rising cost of fuel to eat away at disposable income, potentially setting the stage for an economic slowdown.

Some of the worst off on Monday are companies that are both fuel-sensitive and heavily reliant on middle-class consumers — a double whammy.

Cases in point: Carnival is getting creamed, and Clorox, a company that depends on slightly better-off Americans shelling out for its brand-name products, is also getting pummeled.

But the pain is more widespread than that, with industries where oil prices are a major input, such as chemical manufacturers (Eastman Chemical), industrial machinery makers (Illinois Tool Works), and building products (Owens-Corning), also getting shellacked.

More ominous — economically speaking — is the performance of companies catering to America’s middle class, including Macy’s, Kohl’s, Best Buy, and Texas Roadhouse. The drop suggests that investors and traders expect the rising cost of fuel to eat away at disposable income, potentially setting the stage for an economic slowdown.

Some of the worst off on Monday are companies that are both fuel-sensitive and heavily reliant on middle-class consumers — a double whammy.

Cases in point: Carnival is getting creamed, and Clorox, a company that depends on slightly better-off Americans shelling out for its brand-name products, is also getting pummeled.

Retro outdoor sign to save money on gas, Save $ on fuel

Where in the US have gas prices jumped the most since the US attack on Iran?

Drivers in some states are seeing pump prices rise much faster than others.

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Live Nation reportedly reaches settlement with DOJ over Ticketmaster

Live Nation is jumping in premarket trading on Monday after reports that it has reached a settlement with the Department of Justice over an antitrust lawsuit that could have forced the company to sell Ticketmaster.

After Bloomberg reported that the company was close to a settlement, The Wall Street Journal early on Monday reported that a deal had indeed been reached with an agreement that crucially spares the entertainment giant from breaking up with Ticketmaster, in return for making it easier for other promoters to compete in Live Nation venues.

The prompt agreement, with negotiations presumably intensifying since the trial kicked off on March 2, is expected to get relief to consumers faster than Live Nation going through a trial, per a Justice Department official cited by the WSJ.

Separately, Politico reported that the settlement would include $200 million in damages to participating states — a tiny fraction of Live Nation’s more than $36 billion market cap. Politico also expects Live Nation to divest more than 10 amphitheaters and cap Ticketmaster’s service fees at its amphitheaters under the agreement.

The settlement, which still requires approval from a judge, is set to be made public on Monday, and has seen about 10 states agreeing to the new framework, according to people familiar with the matter. Other state attorneys general may continue to separately litigate.

After Bloomberg reported that the company was close to a settlement, The Wall Street Journal early on Monday reported that a deal had indeed been reached with an agreement that crucially spares the entertainment giant from breaking up with Ticketmaster, in return for making it easier for other promoters to compete in Live Nation venues.

The prompt agreement, with negotiations presumably intensifying since the trial kicked off on March 2, is expected to get relief to consumers faster than Live Nation going through a trial, per a Justice Department official cited by the WSJ.

Separately, Politico reported that the settlement would include $200 million in damages to participating states — a tiny fraction of Live Nation’s more than $36 billion market cap. Politico also expects Live Nation to divest more than 10 amphitheaters and cap Ticketmaster’s service fees at its amphitheaters under the agreement.

The settlement, which still requires approval from a judge, is set to be made public on Monday, and has seen about 10 states agreeing to the new framework, according to people familiar with the matter. Other state attorneys general may continue to separately litigate.

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Leo KoGuan, billionaire Tesla bull, tweets that he purchased another 1 million shares of Nvidia

Billionaire software entrepreneur, philosopher, and now major Tesla and Nvidia bull Leo KoGuan tweeted that he bought another 1 million shares of the chip designer.

“Hopefully, I can contribute a little to calm the nervous market. Good luck all,” he wrote in his message.

Unless KoGuan can work some magic in global oil markets or conflict resolution in the Middle East, however, “a little” may be all he’s able to contribute in favor of market tranquility.

Stocks, including Nvidia, are modestly positive this morning despite the spike in oil prices weighing on major indexes.

Unless KoGuan can work some magic in global oil markets or conflict resolution in the Middle East, however, “a little” may be all he’s able to contribute in favor of market tranquility.

Stocks, including Nvidia, are modestly positive this morning despite the spike in oil prices weighing on major indexes.

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