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KARPE DIEM

Amazon employs 395 people for every 1 Palantir worker — guess which stock gets traded more?

Nearly $14 billion worth of Palantir shares have changed hands every day over the last five sessions, more than all but the largest stocks in American markets.

David Crowther

On Monday, Palantir closed at a record high. On Tuesday, it did it again.

The packaged software company deep in the defense scene, helmed by its talismanic, jargon-loving, hyperbolic CEO, who once said “Palantir is here to disrupt and make our — the institutions we partner with the very best in the world and, when it’s necessary, to scare enemies and on occasion, kill them,” has attracted a loyal army of retail investors the likes of which we’ve seen maybe only a handful of times before in Tesla and GameStop.

But, while the company’s valuation continues to fly in the face of every corporate finance textbook you’ve ever pretended to read, with PLTR consistently on a three-digit price-to-earnings ratio, what is arguably more remarkable is the sheer volume that is changing hands in the stock every day.

Data from FactSet reveals that over the last five trading sessions, $13.7 billion worth of Palantir’s stock has been traded on average every day — more than companies with economic footprints that are orders of magnitude larger than its own.

Amazon Vs. Palantir Trading Volumes
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Amazon, for example, reported that it employed some 1.556 million people at the end of last year. Palantir’s roster was closer to a very large high school, at just 3,936, meaning that the e-commerce giant employs 395x as many people as Palantir, but its shares are less liquid. Tech juggernaut Apple has seen only $10 billion worth of trading activity in its shares in the last five days, 27% less than Palantir.

It’s not normal that the securities underlying those businesses are trading even remotely equivalent volumes — typically, of course, there’s a correlation between a company’s market value and how much its shares trade at.

Walmart, Apple, Nike, McDonald’s — Palantir is seeing more action than all of them. So meteoric has the run-up in Palantir’s shares been that, as Sherwood News’ Matt Phillips pointed out earlier, Wall Street analysts are even beginning to wonder if companies like Tesla should look at emulating parts of Palantir’s product portfolio.

Only Tesla and Nvidia have traded more than Palantir in the last five sessions.

So, relative to its size, is Palantir’s stock turned over more than any other in the S&P 500?

Interestingly, no. That honor falls to another volatile AI darling, Super Micro Computer, which has turned over 5.4% of its market cap in the last five sessions, slightly ahead of Palantir’s 4.5%. The median for the index is just 0.8%.

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Opendoor surges on bullish options bets as traders look to potential real estate tokenization

Opendoor Technologies is surging on Friday amid bullish options bets and social media posts referencing unconfirmed rumors about the company.

The stock moved higher in the premarket session after the soft inflation report boosted stocks and briefly pushed long-term bond yields lower (positive for a real estate company). But the real gains came after the opening bell rang and options demand picked up.

As of 12:11 p.m. ET, roughly 664,000 call options have changed hands versus a 10-day average of about 364,000 for a full session.

What seems to be galvanizing members of the “$OPEN Army” is the potential for the company to pursue the tokenization of real-world assets, with Robinhood often bandied about as a potential partner in this endeavor.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

Opendoor bulls have often pointed to signs that Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev appears to be fond of the company, from what appeared on-screen during a demo of a social trading feature at HOOD’s conference in Las Vegas in September to offering support to Opendoor CEO Kaz Nejatian in setting up an opportunity for retail shareholders to ask questions during the online real estate company’s next earnings call.

Opendoor is currently in a quiet period ahead of earnings, which restricts what type of announcements a company can make.

The call options seeing the most demand expire this Friday with strike prices of $8, $8.50, and $9.

Intel Earnings Researchers

Wall Street analysts see some issues with Intel’s earnings

Even with the US government as a partial owner, Intel’s turnaround has a long way to go.

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Beyond Meat gains amid slightly better-than-expected Q3 sales, positive commentary on legal issues

Shares of Beyond Meat built on their premarket gains after the plant-based meat seller reported preliminary Q3 sales a bit ahead of Wall Street’s expectations, before paring this advance after the market opened.

For the three months ended September 27, management said net revenue would be approximately $70 million. That’s in line with their guidance range of $68 million to $73 million, but Wall Street was expecting sales to skew toward the lower end of that range, at $68.7 million.

However, its anticipated gross margin of 10% to 11% is lower than analysts had been expecting (13.8%). That’s still the case even adjusting for expenses related to its downsizing of operations in China, which would have left margins around 12% to 13%, per Beyond.

Perhaps more importantly, the company provided positive commentary regarding arbitration discussions with a former co-manufacturer that appear to bring it closer to a resolution while limiting potential damages:

“As previously disclosed, in March 2024, a former co-manufacturer brought an action against the Company in a confidential arbitration proceeding claiming that the Company inappropriately terminated its agreement with the co-manufacturer and claimed damages of at least $73.0 million. On September 15, 2025, the arbitrator issued an interim award (the ‘Interim Award’) and found that the Company had a valid basis to terminate the agreement with the Manufacturer. The details of the Interim Award are confidential, and a final arbitration award has not been issued. Additional proceedings will be held to determine the award of attorneys’ fees, prejudgment interest and costs, if any, before a final arbitration award will be issued. On September 25, 2025, the Manufacturer filed a request with the arbitrator to re-open the arbitration hearing. On September 29, 2025, the Company opposed this request. On October 20, 2025, the arbitrator denied the Manufacturer’s request.”

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Softer inflation means higher conviction in Fed easing, per prediction markets

A cooler-than-expected inflation report is fueling more confidence in additional Federal Reserve easing through year-end.

CPI rose 0.3% month on month in September, while its core measure of inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2%. Both increases were a tick less than economists polled by Bloomberg had anticipated.

Market-implied odds derived from event contracts offered on Robinhood show that the probability of the US central bank delivering exactly three cuts this year rose to as high as 85% in the minutes following the release, up from 77% beforehand.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

The Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points in September to a range of 4% to 4.25%. It meets again next week and its final rate decision for 2025 is scheduled for December 10.

The central bank’s most recent “dot plot” showed that the median official thought 75 basis points of easing (or three 25-basis point rate cuts) would be appropriate for 2025 if the economy evolved in line with their expectations.

Stocks rose in the minutes after the CPI print, with the SPDR S&P 500 Trust gaining 0.3%, as of 8:50 a.m. ET, leaving it 0.6% higher than it closed last night.

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