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KARPE DIEM

Amazon employs 395 people for every 1 Palantir worker — guess which stock gets traded more?

Nearly $14 billion worth of Palantir shares have changed hands every day over the last five sessions, more than all but the largest stocks in American markets.

David Crowther

On Monday, Palantir closed at a record high. On Tuesday, it did it again.

The packaged software company deep in the defense scene, helmed by its talismanic, jargon-loving, hyperbolic CEO, who once said “Palantir is here to disrupt and make our — the institutions we partner with the very best in the world and, when it’s necessary, to scare enemies and on occasion, kill them,” has attracted a loyal army of retail investors the likes of which we’ve seen maybe only a handful of times before in Tesla and GameStop.

But, while the company’s valuation continues to fly in the face of every corporate finance textbook you’ve ever pretended to read, with PLTR consistently on a three-digit price-to-earnings ratio, what is arguably more remarkable is the sheer volume that is changing hands in the stock every day.

Data from FactSet reveals that over the last five trading sessions, $13.7 billion worth of Palantir’s stock has been traded on average every day — more than companies with economic footprints that are orders of magnitude larger than its own.

Amazon Vs. Palantir Trading Volumes
Sherwood News

Amazon, for example, reported that it employed some 1.556 million people at the end of last year. Palantir’s roster was closer to a very large high school, at just 3,936, meaning that the e-commerce giant employs 395x as many people as Palantir, but its shares are less liquid. Tech juggernaut Apple has seen only $10 billion worth of trading activity in its shares in the last five days, 27% less than Palantir.

It’s not normal that the securities underlying those businesses are trading even remotely equivalent volumes — typically, of course, there’s a correlation between a company’s market value and how much its shares trade at.

Walmart, Apple, Nike, McDonald’s — Palantir is seeing more action than all of them. So meteoric has the run-up in Palantir’s shares been that, as Sherwood News’ Matt Phillips pointed out earlier, Wall Street analysts are even beginning to wonder if companies like Tesla should look at emulating parts of Palantir’s product portfolio.

Only Tesla and Nvidia have traded more than Palantir in the last five sessions.

So, relative to its size, is Palantir’s stock turned over more than any other in the S&P 500?

Interestingly, no. That honor falls to another volatile AI darling, Super Micro Computer, which has turned over 5.4% of its market cap in the last five sessions, slightly ahead of Palantir’s 4.5%. The median for the index is just 0.8%.

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GameStop jumps in after-hours trading after CEO Ryan Cohen purchases another 500,000 shares

Ryan Cohen is putting his money where his mouth is.

The GameStop CEO bought another 500,000 shares of company stock for $10.8 million on Wednesday, per a filing.

The stock was trading higher on Wednesday thanks to Cohen’s purchase of 500,000 shares for roughly $10.6 million on Tuesday, and extended these gains in the after-hours session on this news.

“The Reporting Person believes that it is essential for the Chief Executive Officer of any public company to purchase shares of such company in the open market with his or her own personal funds in order to further strengthen alignment with stockholders,” per the filing. “The Reporting Person believes that any Chief Executive Officer who fails to do so should be fired.”

Cohen is poised to become even more financially enmeshed with GameStop’s stock and operating performance should shareholders approve a package that would tie his pay completely to ambitious targets for the company’s earnings and market cap.

The CEO now owns about 8.56% of shares outstanding.

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AppLovin tumbles; company dismisses negative report as “false, misleading, and nonsensical”

AppLovin managed to finish Tuesday well off its lows after initially getting clobbered in the wake of an incendiary report published by CapitalWatch.

Nonetheless, shares are getting torched on Wednesday, ending down nearly 6%. An AppLovin spokesperson forcefully denied the allegations made by CapitalWatch, which included calling the ad tech firm “the ultimate monument to 21st-century new-type transnational financial crime.”

Per an emailed statement:

We categorically reject the claims made in this report, which is rife with false, misleading, and nonsensical allegations. AppLovin’s public filings transparently disclose our material investments, global operations, and information regarding significant shareholders.

Claims that AppLovin facilitated money laundering or its products are used for unauthorized downloads are patently false. AppLovin functions within a broader ecosystem that includes major app stores, operating systems, and payment providers, and the apps monetized through our platform must be publicly available on the major app stores and subject to their independent review and enforcement. Economically, the money laundering theory is implausible: publishers receive only a portion of advertiser spend, meaning any attempt to launder funds would require forfeiting a substantial share while creating a highly visible, auditable transaction trail across multiple independent companies. Accepting the report’s premise would therefore imply a systemic failure across the broader mobile advertising and app-store ecosystem, for which the report provides no evidence.

Nonetheless, shares are getting torched on Wednesday, ending down nearly 6%. An AppLovin spokesperson forcefully denied the allegations made by CapitalWatch, which included calling the ad tech firm “the ultimate monument to 21st-century new-type transnational financial crime.”

Per an emailed statement:

We categorically reject the claims made in this report, which is rife with false, misleading, and nonsensical allegations. AppLovin’s public filings transparently disclose our material investments, global operations, and information regarding significant shareholders.

Claims that AppLovin facilitated money laundering or its products are used for unauthorized downloads are patently false. AppLovin functions within a broader ecosystem that includes major app stores, operating systems, and payment providers, and the apps monetized through our platform must be publicly available on the major app stores and subject to their independent review and enforcement. Economically, the money laundering theory is implausible: publishers receive only a portion of advertiser spend, meaning any attempt to launder funds would require forfeiting a substantial share while creating a highly visible, auditable transaction trail across multiple independent companies. Accepting the report’s premise would therefore imply a systemic failure across the broader mobile advertising and app-store ecosystem, for which the report provides no evidence.

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Intel soars amid retail engagement, analyst chatter

Intel ripped toward a new 52-week high Wednesday, amid a flurry of activity in the options market and a couple of positive analyst assessments ahead of its earnings report due tomorrow.

Shortly after 11 a.m. ET, call options activity was roughly equivalent to the full-day average over the past 10 sessions. Bets on stock swings using call options have become a highly popular retail trade, suggesting that retail investors are getting interested in the shares ahead of the report from the partially nationalized American chip icon.

(That interpretation is buttressed by what we’re seeing on social sentiment-monitoring sites like SwaggyStocks, which at about 11:30 a.m. listed Intel as the fifth-most-mentioned stock on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum over the past 24 hours.)

Wall Street analysts are also chattering about the stock, with RBC and Bernstein Research both writing about it in the last 24 hours.

RBC — which has a “sector perform” (or neutral) rating on Intel — said it expects a “slight beat and largely inline outlook” when the company reports after the close Thursday.

Bernstein’s Intel watchers — who have a “market perform” (also neutral) rating on the stock — seemed a bit more cautious, writing, “Overall numbers going forward still looking high to us. Fundamentals and valuation keep us sidelined.”

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