Affirm shares sink as the buy now, pay later giant posts surprise profit but disappointing guidance
Revenue surged in the third quarter, but the future may not be so bright.
Affirm shares were down 13% Friday afternoon after the payment installment company posted a surprise Q3 profit but gave a chillier revenue outlook.
Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.01, swinging to a profit from last year’s loss and beating expectations for a $0.03 loss. Revenue was in line with estimates at $783 million, while gross merchandise volume (an important metric that tracks total transactions) topped forecasts, jumping 36% to $8.6 billion.
Despite the beat, investors were spooked by a cautious revenue forecast for the current quarter, with the midpoint landing below Wall Street targets. The slowdown comes as the broader US economy feels the impact of new Trump-era tariffs and cooling consumer spending, with lower-income shoppers in particular pulling back.
On the flip side, Affirm’s Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth has stayed resilient, fueled in part by the company’s 0% loan offers and new users joining through Apple and Amazon.
Affirm expects Q4 GMV to land between $9.4 billion and $9.7 billion, with the midpoint of $9.55 billion topping estimates.
Despite Friday’s sell-off, Affirm shares are still up nearly 35% year to date.