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Four tiny stocks all traded more than Disney... and 476 other members of the S&P 500 yesterday

Quantum Computing, Rigetti Computing, Nukkleus Inc., and SoundHound AI traded nearly $10 billion collectively yesterday.

David Crowther, Luke Kawa
12/18/24 10:04AM

These days, you have to go well outside the S&P 500, which holds the largest American public companies, to find the stocks worth talking about. An emergent market theme is the spike in appetite for more speculative, volatile companies — ones with massive upside potential tied to buzzword-heavy business lines, but also little in the way of current revenues or profits.

This handful of relatively tiny companies are stealing the spotlight, with their trading volumes going absolutely nuts.

That amount of money trading in stocks that few people have heard of is unusual, but when you account for the size of these companies, the comparisons get even more staggering. Before we get into the details, some quick context. The average S&P 500 Index stock traded $818 million yesterday, per data from FactSet, or about 0.89% of its market cap — again, on average. Tesla, the most active stock overall, actually traded about 4% of its market cap.

Quantum Computing only has a market capitalization of about $2 billion. Yesterday, more than $3.3 billion changed hands in the company’s stock — meaning that it traded ~164% of its market cap in one session. Rigetti Computing turned over about ~94% of its market value, and the value traded in SoundHound AI was about 26% of its market cap.

But nothing compares to Nukkleus Inc. After announcing a strategic acquisition that pivots the company into the defense sector, the tiny company’s stock soared, gaining more than 700% in just one day. Per FactSet, more than $2 billion changed hands in the company’s shares yesterday. (Bloomberg estimates a lower amount, closer to $1.4 billion.) The company’s market cap is just $40 million, meaning that, on the FactSet numbers, traders bought and sold over 5,000% of its total market cap... in one day.

Why are these stocks soaring?

Quantum computing has been the shiny new object for traders chasing new thematic investing ideas in the wake of Alphabet’s December 9 announcement of a problem-solving breakthrough. The search giant said that its quantum computer completed a series of calculations would have taken the world’s best supercomputers 10 septillion years to finish. Smaller pure-play companies in this line of business, which had already been up anywhere from 175% to 715% so far this year, have since extended their year-to-date gains. Notably, Rigetti Computing and Quantum Computing have each more than doubled in a little over a week.

Rigetti, in partnership with other firms including Nvidia, was able to successfully use AI to calibrate a quantum computer (that is, setting it up so that it works and does whatever it’s being asked to do properly). That’s a significant potential time-saver that could aid the proliferation of this technology. Meanwhile, Quantum Computing secured a contract with NASA to process interferometric imaging data, which are images generated through the use of radar.

SoundHound AI, which sells voice-AI software, seems to have benefited from its legions of doubters amid an apparent short squeeze in the shares. Roughly one-quarter of its float is held by traders betting against the company — an increasingly painful position to have held.

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Opendoor soars as co-founders Keith Rabois and Eric Wu added to board of directors, Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian appointed as new CEO


Opendoor Technologies is soaring after announcing that two of the online real estate company’s co-founders, Keith Rabois and Eric Wu, have been added to its board of directors. Rabois will serve as Chairman.

The company said Wu and Rabois’ VC firm are buying $40 million in Opendoor stock via a private investment in public equity (PIPE) financing.

In addition, Opendoor has poached Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian to serve as its new CEO after Carrie Wheeler resigned in mid-August.

“Literally there was only one choice for the job: Kaz. I am thrilled that he will be serving as CEO of Opendoor,” said Rabois.

The company touted that it’s “going into founder mode” with these additions in its press release, with lead independent director Eric Feder championing this injection of “founder DNA.”

That exact phrase, “founder DNA,” was used by Eric Jackson, architect of the initial rally and social interest in Opendoor, as he openly campaigned for these very two individuals to be added to the board.

This underscores how far the company is willing to go in embracing a new strategy of listening to its investors (particularly the most prominent one, it seems!) as management aims to engineer a fundamental turnaround in its business to match the optimism embedded in its stock price.

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“Pokemon” trading cards skyrocketing in value and GameStop’s collectibles business taking off are two sides of the same coin


The Wall Street Journal’s fantastic piece “The Hot Investment With a 3,000% Return? Pokémon Cards” includes this vignette:

“...the cards caught fire among amateur investors during the pandemic. As some investors banded together to spark the GameStop meme stock mania, a more fringe group of traders, also stuck at home and armed with cash from government stimulus, began scooping up Pokémon cards.”

And the connection between “Pokemon” cards and the video game retailer is in fact even closer than that:

GameStop’s collectibles business played a big role in why it smashed Q2 revenue expectations! Sales in this segment exceeded $227 million, while the two analysts that provided forecasts had an average estimate of $170.4 million. Fiscal year to date, sales of collectibles make up 25.8% of its revenues, up from 16.4% at this time last year.

The company significantly expanded its footprint in the “Pokemon” trading card world in 2024 by launching in-store buying and selling of individual cards, and introduced Power Packs,” which include one card graded at 8 or above by the Professional Sports Authenticator, in its most recent quarter.

As a 35-year-old man who still plays Pokemon (Nuzlockes are peak math + strategy entertainment!), thinks the release of Pokemon Go marked the peak for Western civilization, and considers Christmas 1998 to be the second-best day of his life because it’s when he got Pokemon Red, I personally view the outperformance of Pokemon cards as being indicative of the power of nostalgia coupled with a drop-off in child rearing by millennials, leaving more room for discretionary purchases and investments.

And the nostalgia business seems like a great place to be.

“...the cards caught fire among amateur investors during the pandemic. As some investors banded together to spark the GameStop meme stock mania, a more fringe group of traders, also stuck at home and armed with cash from government stimulus, began scooping up Pokémon cards.”

And the connection between “Pokemon” cards and the video game retailer is in fact even closer than that:

GameStop’s collectibles business played a big role in why it smashed Q2 revenue expectations! Sales in this segment exceeded $227 million, while the two analysts that provided forecasts had an average estimate of $170.4 million. Fiscal year to date, sales of collectibles make up 25.8% of its revenues, up from 16.4% at this time last year.

The company significantly expanded its footprint in the “Pokemon” trading card world in 2024 by launching in-store buying and selling of individual cards, and introduced Power Packs,” which include one card graded at 8 or above by the Professional Sports Authenticator, in its most recent quarter.

As a 35-year-old man who still plays Pokemon (Nuzlockes are peak math + strategy entertainment!), thinks the release of Pokemon Go marked the peak for Western civilization, and considers Christmas 1998 to be the second-best day of his life because it’s when he got Pokemon Red, I personally view the outperformance of Pokemon cards as being indicative of the power of nostalgia coupled with a drop-off in child rearing by millennials, leaving more room for discretionary purchases and investments.

And the nostalgia business seems like a great place to be.

markets

Oracle’s hyperscaler competitors lag after the cloud computing giant’s blowout revenue forecast

Oracle’s forecast for mind-blowing revenue growth through its fiscal 2030 is lifting most AI-adjacent stocks today.

However, the ones being left behind in this rising tide, falling or lagging well behind Morgan Stanley’s basket of AI tech beneficiaries (up 5.8% as of 12:22 p.m. ET), are its fellow hyperscalers.

Microsoft and Alphabet, which also have massive cloud divisions, are positive — but only just. Amazon, whose cloud revenue growth was deemed a disappointment relative to peers this quarter, is down 2.8%. Meta is down 1.2%.

This suggests, at the very least, that traders aren’t mapping Oracle’s outlook for Nvidia-like revenue growth onto the other major cloud players or one of their biggest customers.

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