Culture
32nd Annual Actor Awards - Arrivals
Timothée Chalamet attends the 32nd annual Actor Awards on March 1, 2026, in Los Angeles, California (Getty Images)
not into mezzo

Timothée Chalamet has upset opera and ballet fans a week before the Oscars

The actor’s comments have riled up the classical arts communities with the Academy Awards fast approaching.

A conversation between Oscar winner Matthew McConaughey and Best Actor nominee Timothée Chalamet at the University of Texas in February went viral over the weekend.

But rather than creating buzz about the motion picture arts, the “Marty Supreme” actor has drawn ire over his comments about the classical arts instead:

“I don’t want to be working in ballet, or opera, or things where it’s like, ‘Hey, keep this thing alive, even though like no one cares about this anymore.’ All respect to all the ballet and opera people out there.”

Now, with less than a week to go before the 98th Academy Awards, backlash from the ballet and opera worlds has already seen traders on prediction markets react in favor of another Best Actor hopeful.

Loading...
 

On March 7, the market-implied probability of “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan winning the Best Actor award at the Oscars climbed as high as 51%, while Chalamet’s sank to 39%, down from 56% just a day prior. Zooming out, Jordan’s odds had already seen a 17-point bump intraday on March 3 after scooping the prize at the Actor Awards at the start of the month.

As of Monday morning, there is just a 4-point difference between the actors’ market-implied odds. With both about 40 points ahead of the other nominees on the event contract at the time of writing, traders seem to think that Sunday will be a two-horse race for this award in particular.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Let slipper

Final voting for this year’s Academy Awards officially closed on March 5, having opened on February 26 — which means that the recent outcry over Chalamet’s comments can’t really have had any true impact on his chances of scooping the Best Actor Oscar this coming weekend.

Still, the ballet and opera communities have voiced their frustrations with the actor’s recent comments, drawing responses from industry icons, the UK’s Royal Ballet and Opera, the actor’s old school, and the Metropolitan Opera, America’s biggest opera institution.

While the notable retaliation goes some way in proving that people do still “care” about the art forms, the Met Opera’s mounting financial woes have seen the institution turn to the likes of Saudi Arabia and Elon Musk to try and help sustain its business, The New York Times reported yesterday.

Looking at the Met’s financial reports, the company has started to tap into its endowment fund to offset mounting expenses, as ticket revenues continue to shrink. Per the NYT, the size of its endowment fund has decreased by one-third since 2022 to just $212 million today.

The Met Opera revenues chart
Sherwood News

Keep “Carmen,” Carry On

Due to rising production costs, the 2026-27 season will be the Met’s smallest in at least 60 years, with just 17 productions on the slate.

Naturally, though, it’s leaning into the classics: 71 of the 187 individual opera performances this year will be across “La Bohème,” “Aida,” and “Tosca” — all of which are among the Met’s top 5 most performed operas ever... and all of which were last shown in 2025.

More Culture

See all Culture
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.