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comeback singles

Only six of the top 20 songs of 2025 so far are from this year

Most of the biggest songs of 2025 aren’t from 2025.

Tom Jones

Look, we get it, sometimes trying to keep up with the biggest songs of the moment feels like fighting a losing battle. As the pool of music grows wider and every other discussion about the hottest band or artist gives you the impression that you must have missed yet another invitation to the cultural conversation du jour, sometimes leaning into previous favorites feels like the safest option.

In fact, it seems we collectively reached for something a little more familiar: most of 2025’s biggest songs weren’t actually released this year, according to Luminate and Billboard data through November 20.

2025 top 20 songs chart
Sherwood News

If your Spotify listening age made you feel a little less relevant than you’d once thought yourself, maybe recognizing some of the year’s biggest songs, a handful of which were also some of last year’s biggest songs, might put a bit of pep in your step.

Indeed, more than 50% of the year’s top 20 chart hits so far weren’t released in 2025, while only three of the top 10 songs of 2025 are from this year. For instance, “Lose Control” by Teddy Swims, the sixth-biggest song of 2025, came out in June 2023 — meanwhile, Kendrick Lamar’s “Luther,” currently in the second spot and thought by some to be in the running for Song of the Year at the 2026 Grammys, was released last November.

But what’s behind the lag?

2024, a fine vintage

As well as vaguer explanations about “nostalgia and escapism,” there are a couple of factors at play, per Variety. For starters, streaming has fragmented our listening, meaning monoculture megahits are rarer now. Playlists on different platforms often resurface songs from previous years, and there’s been a lack of megastar albums this year.

Many of these songs also came out in November or December 2024, giving them time to find their feet more fully this year. Speaking to Variety, Jaime Marconette, Luminate’s VP for Music Insights and Industry Relations, said that last year was just something of a bumper year for pop — with standout hits from the likes of Sabrina Carpenter, Charli XCX, and Chappell Roan — and some of the biggest songs of the year have had a big influence on this year’s chart looking a little throwback-ish.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

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